Value bet: Igea Virtus to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIgea Virtus to win ✗39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · fair 1.34
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.33
Gelbison vs Igea Virtus: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gelbison welcome Igea Virtus to Stadio Valentino Giordano for a Serie D Girone I fixture on Sunday 22 March (14:30 WAT).
Current form
Gelbison, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Savoia, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gelbison 1.3 xG, Igea Virtus 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gelbison 35%, draw 26%, Igea Virtus 39%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.86.
Price worth noting: Igea Virtus to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gelbison 1–1 Igea Virtus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gelbison35%fair 2.82 · @2.48
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.00
Igea Virtus39%fair 2.56 · @2.75
2.81Expected goals
1.32Gelbison xG
1.49Igea Virtus xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Gelbison 1.3 – 1.5 Igea Virtus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Igea Virtus to win✗
39%
2.56
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.34
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.86
Draw no bet
Igea Virtus (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Gelbison +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.07
First team to score
Igea Virtus to score first
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Igea Virtus / FT Igea Virtus✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.33
–
Recent results
Gelbison – last 3
DWW
15 Mar
@ Savoia
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Vibonese
4–0
W
15 Feb
vs Ragusa
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Igea Virtus – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Sambiase
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gelbison and Igea Virtus.
What is the prediction for Gelbison vs Igea Virtus?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Gelbison vs Igea Virtus?
On our numbers Gelbison have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Igea Virtus 39%.
How many goals will there be in Gelbison vs Igea Virtus?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gelbison vs Igea Virtus?
Our predicted score is Gelbison 1–1 Igea Virtus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Gelbison vs Igea Virtus?
Gelbison vs Igea Virtus (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Valentino Giordano.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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