Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
1
Value bet: Vibonese to win @ 2.49 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVibonese to win ✗43% · @2.49
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · fair 1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.30
Vibonese vs Messina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 March the Serie D Girone I brings Vibonese against Messina at Stadio Luigi Razza. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT.
Current form
Vibonese, last 4: DLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ragusa, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.
Messina, last 4: LDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Nissa, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vibonese 1.4 xG, Messina 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vibonese 43%, draw 27%, Messina 31%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Vibonese to win @2.49 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vibonese 1–1 Messina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vibonese43%fair 2.34 · @2.49
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @2.95
Messina31%fair 3.24 · @2.75
2.33Expected goals
1.39Vibonese xG
0.94Messina xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
2–09%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Vibonese 1.4 – 0.9 Messina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vibonese to win✗
43%
2.34
2.49 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.36
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Vibonese (draw no bet)
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Messina +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.51
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.05
First team to score
Vibonese to score first✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vibonese / FT Vibonese✗
28%
3.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.30
–
Recent results
Vibonese – last 4
DLLL
15 Mar
@ Ragusa
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Savoia
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Gelbison
0–4
L
15 Feb
@ Milazzo
0–4
L
0.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Messina – last 4
LDLD
15 Mar
vs Nissa
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ CastrumFavara
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Sambiase
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Reggina
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vibonese and Messina.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Vibonese vs Messina?
On our numbers Vibonese have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Messina 31%.
How many goals will there be in Vibonese vs Messina?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vibonese vs Messina?
Our predicted score is Vibonese 1–1 Messina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Vibonese vs Messina?
Vibonese vs Messina (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Luigi Razza.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gelbison1
Sancataldese0