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Gavilanes FC Matamoros v Real Apodaca: numbers & prediction

Liga Premier Serie A · Mexico · Estadio El Hogar

Real Apodaca

Gavilanes FC Matamoros 38%Draw 23%Real Apodaca 40% Expected goals 1.24 – 1.29

74%

Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating

1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Apodaca to win ✗40% · @2.45

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.18

Gavilanes FC Matamoros vs Real Apodaca: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 15 February the Liga Premier Serie A brings Gavilanes FC Matamoros against Real Apodaca at Estadio El Hogar. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gavilanes FC Matamoros 1.2 xG, Real Apodaca 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Gavilanes FC Matamoros 38%, draw 23%, Real Apodaca 40%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gavilanes FC Matamoros 1–1 Real Apodaca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gavilanes FC Matamoros38%fair 2.66 · @2.62

Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.20

Real Apodaca40%fair 2.51 · @2.45

2.53Expected goals

1.24Gavilanes FC Matamoros xG

1.29Real Apodaca xG

59%Both score

47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–110%

1–010%

1–28%

0–08%

2–18%

From our goals model: Gavilanes FC Matamoros 1.2 – 1.3 Real Apodaca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Real Apodaca to win ✗	40%	2.51	2.45
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.29	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	59%	1.69	1.70
Draw no bet	Real Apodaca (draw no bet) ✗	51%	1.95	–
Asian handicap	Gavilanes FC Matamoros +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	72%	1.40	1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	53%	1.89	1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	74%	1.35	1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	89%	1.13	–
First team to score	Real Apodaca to score first ✓	47%	2.13	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	44%	2.28	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Real Apodaca / FT Real Apodaca ✗	22%	4.61	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	12.18	–

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Gavilanes FC Matamoros and Real Apodaca.

Gavilanes FC Matamoros vs Real Apodaca head-to-head page →

Liga Premier Serie A table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Santiago	11	7	1	3	+20	24
2	Acatlan	11	7	1	3	+5	23
3	La Tribu de Cd. Juarez	11	7	0	4	+18	22
4	Mineros de Fresnillo	11	6	3	2	+11	22
5	Correcaminos UAT II	11	6	2	3	+4	20
6	Vaqueros Reynosa	11	5	2	4	+1	18
7	Guerreros	10	4	2	4	0	15
8	Atlético Saltillo	10	4	0	6	-7	11
9	Real Apodaca	11	3	1	7	-7	9
10	Héroes de Zaci	10	0	1	9	-26	2
1	Dragones de Oaxaca	11	7	2	2	+16	25
2	Artesanos Metepec	11	7	3	1	+14	25
3	Acambaro	11	7	1	3	+17	23
4	Delfines Coatzacoalcos	11	5	3	3	+4	19
5	Halcones Negros	11	5	1	5	+4	17
6	Guerreros del Pacifico	11	4	1	6	+1	17
7	Calor de San Pedro	11	4	1	6	-7	16
8	Real Refineros	11	5	1	5	-5	15
9	Ciervos	11	2	0	9	-27	5
10	Cañoneros Marina	10	0	0	10	-36	0

More Liga Premier Serie A predictions

League hub

Sporting Canamy2

Atletico Hidalgo3 163%1.57X23%3.95214%4.75 2.1–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.48 ✗

Reboceros La Piedad3

Colima2 160%1.36X20%5.10220%6.00 2.1–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.30 ✓

–

Celaya2

Tapachula2 ET 2–2 167%1.40X19%4.40214%6.50 2.4–1.0xG 1Celaya to win 67%@1.40 ✗

Montañeses2

Mexicali FC0 168%1.44X21%4.10211%6.40 2.1–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓

–

Acatlan3

Los Cabos United0 132%3.70X20%3.80247%1.77 1.7–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 69%@1.36

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gavilanes FC Matamoros vs Real Apodaca?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Gavilanes FC Matamoros vs Real Apodaca?

On our numbers Gavilanes FC Matamoros have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Apodaca 40%.

How many goals will there be in Gavilanes FC Matamoros vs Real Apodaca?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gavilanes FC Matamoros vs Real Apodaca?

Our predicted score is Gavilanes FC Matamoros 1–1 Real Apodaca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Gavilanes FC Matamoros vs Real Apodaca?

Gavilanes FC Matamoros vs Real Apodaca (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Hogar.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Gavilanes FC Matamoros v Real Apodaca: numbers & prediction