Tapachula 31%Draw 20%Pioneros de Cancún 49%Expected goals 1.27 – 2.06
61%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
2
Value bet: Pioneros de Cancún to win @ 2.55 – our chance 49% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPioneros de Cancún to win ✗49% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · fair 1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.38
Tapachula vs Pioneros de Cancún: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pioneros de Cancún travel to face Tapachula on Sunday 22 March in the Liga Premier Serie A, with Estadio Olímpico de Tapachula the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tapachula 1.3 xG, Pioneros de Cancún 2.1 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 52% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tapachula 31%, draw 20%, Pioneros de Cancún 49%.
Price worth noting: Pioneros de Cancún to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tapachula 1–2 Pioneros de Cancún. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tapachula31%fair 3.27 · @2.20
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.70
Pioneros de Cancún49%fair 2.04 · @2.55
3.34Expected goals
1.27Tapachula xG
2.06Pioneros de Cancún xG
52%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Tapachula 1.3 – 2.1 Pioneros de Cancún expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pioneros de Cancún to win✗
49%
2.04
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
–
Draw no bet
Pioneros de Cancún (draw no bet)✗
62%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Tapachula +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
First team to score
Pioneros de Cancún to score first
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Pioneros de Cancún ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pioneros de Cancún / FT Pioneros de Cancún✗
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.38
–
Recent results
Tapachula – last 2
WW
15 Mar
@ Jaguares de Chiapas
3–1
W
10 Mar
vs Montañeses
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Pioneros de Cancún
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tapachula and Pioneros de Cancún.
What is the prediction for Tapachula vs Pioneros de Cancún?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Tapachula vs Pioneros de Cancún?
On our numbers Tapachula have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Pioneros de Cancún 49%.
How many goals will there be in Tapachula vs Pioneros de Cancún?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tapachula vs Pioneros de Cancún?
Our predicted score is Tapachula 1–2 Pioneros de Cancún, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Tapachula vs Pioneros de Cancún?
Tapachula vs Pioneros de Cancún (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olímpico de Tapachula.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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