Celaya vs Inter Playa del Carmen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Inter Playa del Carmen travel to face Celaya on Sunday 22 March in the Liga Premier Serie A, with Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Celaya 1.9 xG, Inter Playa del Carmen 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Celaya 57%, draw 23%, Inter Playa del Carmen 19%.
Lower-risk option: Celaya or draw (81%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Celaya 1–1 Inter Playa del Carmen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Celaya57%fair 1.75 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.60
Inter Playa del Carmen19%fair 5.14 · @4.20
2.83Expected goals
1.86Celaya xG
0.97Inter Playa del Carmen xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Celaya 1.9 – 1.0 Inter Playa del Carmen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celaya to win✗
57%
1.75
1.70
Double chance
Celaya or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.65
Draw no bet
Celaya (draw no bet)
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Inter Playa del Carmen +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Celaya to score first✗
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Celaya ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celaya / FT Celaya✗
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
Celaya – last 2
WL
3 Mar
vs Chapulineros
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Racing de Veracruz
0–4
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Inter Playa del Carmen – last 1
W
14 Mar
vs Chapulineros
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celaya and Inter Playa del Carmen.
What is the prediction for Celaya vs Inter Playa del Carmen?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Celaya vs Inter Playa del Carmen?
On our numbers Celaya have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Inter Playa del Carmen 19%.
How many goals will there be in Celaya vs Inter Playa del Carmen?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celaya vs Inter Playa del Carmen?
Our predicted score is Celaya 1–1 Inter Playa del Carmen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Celaya vs Inter Playa del Carmen?
Celaya vs Inter Playa del Carmen (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tapachula2
Pioneros de Cancún1