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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Estradense v CD Lugo B: numbers & prediction

Tercera División RFEF Group 1 · Spain · Campo Municipal do Concello da Estrada
1–0
FT
Estradense 48%Draw 26%CD Lugo B 26% Expected goals 1.37 – 1.07
57%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.77 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultEstradense to win ✓48% · @1.90
Double chanceEstradense or draw ✓74% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.36

Estradense vs CD Lugo B: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Estradense welcome CD Lugo B to Campo Municipal do Concello da Estrada for a Tercera División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Thursday 2 April (11:00 WAT).

Current form

Estradense, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Villalbés, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.

CD Lugo B, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cambados, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Estradense 1.4 xG, CD Lugo B 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Estradense 48%, draw 26%, CD Lugo B 26%.
  • Lower-risk option: Estradense or draw (74%) at 1.17.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estradense 1–1 CD Lugo B. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Estradense48%fair 2.07 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.10
CD Lugo B26%fair 3.88 · @3.75
2.44Expected goals
1.37Estradense xG
1.07CD Lugo B xG
47%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–09%
2–08%

From our goals model: Estradense 1.4 – 1.1 CD Lugo B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEstradense to win ✓48%2.071.90
Double chanceEstradense or draw ✓74%1.351.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.89–
Draw no betEstradense (draw no bet) ✓65%1.53–
Asian handicapCD Lugo B +1 (Asian handicap)73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.771.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreEstradense to score first ✓51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Estradense / FT Estradense ✗26%3.91–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12%8.36–

Recent results

Estradense – last 5

WWDLL
19 Mar@ Villalbés2–0W
15 Marvs Barbadás3–2W
8 Mar@ Alondras2–2D
22 Feb@ Celta de Vigo III1–2L
18 Feb@ Celtiga1–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

CD Lugo B – last 5

WDLWD
22 Mar@ Cambados1–0W
19 Marvs Boiro1–1D
15 Mar@ Barco0–1L
8 Marvs Compostela1–0W
22 Febvs Somozas2–2D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Estradense and CD Lugo B.

Estradense vs CD Lugo B head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Boiro10721+1023
2Sarriana10532+518
3Silva10523+117
4Barco10442+516
5Atlético Arteixo10442+316
6Portonovo SD10433+315
7Estradense10433015
8Lalin10433-115
9Villalbés10352+114
10Pontevedra II10415+213
11Antela10343-113
12Alondras10334-112
13Somozas10253-111
14Celtiga10253-211
15Arenteiro10316-410
16Coruña10307-99
17Celta de Vigo III10226-58
18Viveiro10226-68

More Tercera División RFEF Group 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Estradense vs CD Lugo B?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Estradense vs CD Lugo B?

On our numbers Estradense have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 26% and CD Lugo B 26%.

How many goals will there be in Estradense vs CD Lugo B?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Estradense vs CD Lugo B?

Our predicted score is Estradense 1–1 CD Lugo B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Estradense vs CD Lugo B?

Estradense vs CD Lugo B (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Municipal do Concello da Estrada.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.