Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultSomozas to win ✓43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.84
Somozas vs Alondras: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Somozas welcome Alondras to Estadio Alcalde Manuel Candocia for a Tercera División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Thursday 2 April (16:00 WAT). In the table, Somozas are 13th, lower half, on 11 points after 10 matches; Alondras are 12th (lower half) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Somozas, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Arosa, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Alondras, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Cambados, at home. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Somozas 1.3 xG, Alondras 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Somozas 43%, draw 27%, Alondras 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Somozas 1–1 Alondras. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Somozas43%fair 2.31 · @2.10
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.10
Alondras30%fair 3.38 · @3.20
2.31Expected goals
1.28Somozas xG
1.02Alondras xG
46%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Somozas 1.3 – 1.0 Alondras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Somozas to win✓
43%
2.31
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Somozas (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Alondras +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Somozas to score first✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Somozas / FT Somozas✓
24%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.84
–
Recent results
Somozas – last 5
LLWDD
29 Mar
@ Arosa
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Atlético Arteixo
0–1
L
19 Mar
@ Noia
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Barbadás
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Polvorín
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Alondras – last 5
DLLDW
29 Mar
vs Cambados
3–3
D
22 Mar
@ Boiro
0–1
L
19 Mar
vs Barco
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Estradense
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Coruña
3–2
W
1.6Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Somozas and Alondras.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Somozas vs Alondras?
On our numbers Somozas have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Alondras 30%.
How many goals will there be in Somozas vs Alondras?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Somozas vs Alondras?
Our predicted score is Somozas 1–1 Alondras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Somozas vs Alondras?
Somozas vs Alondras (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alcalde Manuel Candocia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
CD Lugo B0
Noia0
Arosa1
Compostela5