Celtiga v Celta de Vigo III Prediction & Expected Goals (22 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultCeltiga to win43% · @2.10

Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.25

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · fair 1.84

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · fair 1.32

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–011% · fair 8.74

Celtiga vs Celta de Vigo III: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Celtiga welcome Celta de Vigo III to Estadio Salvador Otero for a Tercera División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Sunday 22 March (18:00 WAT). In the table, Celtiga are 14th, lower half, on 11 points after 10 matches; Celta de Vigo III are 17th (in the drop zone) with 8. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Celtiga, last 4: LWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Silva, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Celta de Vigo III, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Cambados, at home. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game.

Momentum favours Celta de Vigo III, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.5 for Celtiga.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Celtiga 1.4 xG, Celta de Vigo III 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Celtiga 43%, draw 26%, Celta de Vigo III 31%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Celtiga 1–1 Celta de Vigo III. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Celtiga43%fair 2.32 · @2.10

Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.25

Celta de Vigo III31%fair 3.22 · @3.00

2.50Expected goals

1.39Celtiga xG

1.11Celta de Vigo III xG

46%Both score

44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–011%

0–19%

2–19%

0–08%

2–08%

From our goals model: Celtiga 1.4 – 1.1 Celta de Vigo III expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Celtiga to win	43%	2.32	2.10
Double chance	Either team to win	74%	1.35	1.25
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score	54%	1.84	–
Draw no bet	Celtiga (draw no bet)	58%	1.72	–
Asian handicap	Celta de Vigo III +1 (Asian handicap)	73%	1.36	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	71%	1.41	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals	56%	1.79	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	76%	1.32	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	89%	1.12	–
First team to score	Celtiga to score first	51%	1.96	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	44%	2.27	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Celtiga / FT Celtiga	25%	3.94	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0	11%	8.74	–

Celtiga – last 4

LWWL

19 Mar	@ Silva	0–1	L
8 Mar	vs Cambados	2–0	W
18 Feb	vs Estradense	2–1	W
15 Feb	@ Compostela	1–2	L

1.3Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Celta de Vigo III – last 3

WWW

19 Mar	vs Cambados	4–1	W
8 Mar	vs Barco	4–2	W
22 Feb	vs Estradense	2–1	W

3.3Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

100%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Boiro	10	7	2	1	+10	23
2	Sarriana	10	5	3	2	+5	18
3	Silva	10	5	2	3	+1	17
4	Barco	10	4	4	2	+5	16
5	Atlético Arteixo	10	4	4	2	+3	16
6	Portonovo SD	10	4	3	3	+3	15
7	Estradense	10	4	3	3	0	15
8	Lalin	10	4	3	3	-1	15
9	Villalbés	10	3	5	2	+1	14
10	Pontevedra II	10	4	1	5	+2	13
11	Antela	10	3	4	3	-1	13
12	Alondras	10	3	3	4	-1	12
13	Somozas	10	2	5	3	-1	11
14	Celtiga	10	2	5	3	-2	11
15	Arenteiro	10	3	1	6	-4	10
16	Coruña	10	3	0	7	-9	9
17	Celta de Vigo III	10	2	2	6	-5	8
18	Viveiro	10	2	2	6	-6	8

Team

Pts

+10

-1

-1

-1

-1

-2

-4

-9

-5

-6

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Celtiga vs Celta de Vigo III?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Celtiga vs Celta de Vigo III?

On our numbers Celtiga have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Celta de Vigo III 31%.

How many goals will there be in Celtiga vs Celta de Vigo III?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Celtiga vs Celta de Vigo III?

Our predicted score is Celtiga 1–1 Celta de Vigo III, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Celtiga vs Celta de Vigo III?

Celtiga vs Celta de Vigo III (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Salvador Otero.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Celtiga v Celta de Vigo III: numbers & prediction