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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Coruña v Arosa: numbers & prediction

Tercera División RFEF Group 1 · Spain · Campo Municipal San Pedro de Visma I
0–1
FT
Coruña 32%Draw 23%Arosa 45% Expected goals 1.40 – 1.77
54%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.86 · bookmaker 2.05 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
2.05Odds

Picks by market

ResultArosa to win ✓45% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.85

Coruña vs Arosa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:30 WAT, Sunday 22 March: Coruña v Arosa in the Tercera División RFEF Group 1, played at Campo Municipal San Pedro de Visma I.

Current form

Coruña, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Atlético Arteixo, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Arosa, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Viveiro, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Momentum favours Arosa, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Coruña.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Coruña 1.4 xG, Arosa 1.8 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Coruña 32%, draw 23%, Arosa 45%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (54%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.86, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Coruña 1–2 Arosa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Coruña32%fair 3.08 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.30
Arosa45%fair 2.24 · @2.30
3.16Expected goals
1.40Coruña xG
1.77Arosa xG
53%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–29%
0–17%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%

From our goals model: Coruña 1.4 – 1.8 Arosa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArosa to win ✓45%2.242.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.90–
Draw no betArosa (draw no bet) ✓58%1.73–
Asian handicapCoruña +1 (Asian handicap)68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.862.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
First team to scoreArosa to score first ✓53%1.87–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.61–
Half-time / full-timeHT Arosa / FT Arosa ✓28%3.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.85–

Recent results

Coruña – last 3

LWL
19 Mar@ Atlético Arteixo2–3L
15 Marvs Noia3–0W
22 Feb@ Alondras2–3L
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Arosa – last 3

WDW
18 Marvs Viveiro4–1W
15 Marvs Atlético Arteixo2–2D
8 Mar@ Noia1–0W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Coruña and Arosa.

Coruña vs Arosa head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Boiro10721+1023
2Sarriana10532+518
3Silva10523+117
4Barco10442+516
5Atlético Arteixo10442+316
6Portonovo SD10433+315
7Estradense10433015
8Lalin10433-115
9Villalbés10352+114
10Pontevedra II10415+213
11Antela10343-113
12Alondras10334-112
13Somozas10253-111
14Celtiga10253-211
15Arenteiro10316-410
16Coruña10307-99
17Celta de Vigo III10226-58
18Viveiro10226-68

More Tercera División RFEF Group 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Coruña vs Arosa?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.

Who will win Coruña vs Arosa?

On our numbers Coruña have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Arosa 45%.

How many goals will there be in Coruña vs Arosa?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Coruña vs Arosa?

Our predicted score is Coruña 1–2 Arosa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Coruña vs Arosa?

Coruña vs Arosa (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo Municipal San Pedro de Visma I.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.