Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.85
Coruña vs Arosa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:30 WAT, Sunday 22 March: Coruña v Arosa in the Tercera División RFEF Group 1, played at Campo Municipal San Pedro de Visma I.
Current form
Coruña, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Atlético Arteixo, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Arosa, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Viveiro, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Momentum favours Arosa, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Coruña.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Coruña 1.4 xG, Arosa 1.8 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Coruña 32%, draw 23%, Arosa 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (54%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.86, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Coruña 1–2 Arosa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Coruña32%fair 3.08 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.30
Arosa45%fair 2.24 · @2.30
3.16Expected goals
1.40Coruña xG
1.77Arosa xG
53%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
0–17%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Coruña 1.4 – 1.8 Arosa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arosa to win✓
45%
2.24
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
–
Draw no bet
Arosa (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Coruña +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Arosa to score first✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arosa / FT Arosa✓
28%
3.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.85
–
Recent results
Coruña – last 3
LWL
19 Mar
@ Atlético Arteixo
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Noia
3–0
W
22 Feb
@ Alondras
2–3
L
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Arosa – last 3
WDW
18 Mar
vs Viveiro
4–1
W
15 Mar
vs Atlético Arteixo
2–2
D
8 Mar
@ Noia
1–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Coruña and Arosa.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Coruña vs Arosa?
On our numbers Coruña have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Arosa 45%.
How many goals will there be in Coruña vs Arosa?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Coruña vs Arosa?
Our predicted score is Coruña 1–2 Arosa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Coruña vs Arosa?
Coruña vs Arosa (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo Municipal San Pedro de Visma I.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.