Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.79
Caudal vs Covadonga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 March the Tercera División RFEF Group 2 brings Caudal against Covadonga at Estadio Municipal Hermanos Antuña. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, Caudal are 5th, upper half, on 18 points after 10 matches; Covadonga are 1st (leading the league) with 23.
Current form
Caudal, last 4: WLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Avilés Stadium, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Covadonga, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Siero, at home. 3.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Covadonga, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Caudal.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Caudal 1.2 xG, Covadonga 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Caudal 26%, draw 25%, Covadonga 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caudal 1–1 Covadonga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Caudal26%fair 3.84 · @3.75
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.50
Covadonga49%fair 2.06 · @1.80
2.70Expected goals
1.18Caudal xG
1.53Covadonga xG
49%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Caudal 1.2 – 1.5 Covadonga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Covadonga to win✗
49%
2.06
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
–
Draw no bet
Covadonga (draw no bet)✗
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Caudal +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Covadonga to score first
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Covadonga / FT Covadonga✗
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.79
–
Recent results
Caudal – last 4
WLWL
15 Mar
@ Avilés Stadium
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Llanera
0–3
L
1 Mar
@ Real Titánico
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Sporting Gijón II
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Covadonga – last 5
WLWWD
15 Mar
vs Siero
5–0
W
8 Mar
@ Navarro
1–3
L
1 Mar
vs Gijón Industrial
6–0
W
22 Feb
@ Praviano
3–1
W
15 Feb
vs Lenense
1–1
D
3.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caudal and Covadonga.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Caudal vs Covadonga?
On our numbers Caudal have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Covadonga 49%.
How many goals will there be in Caudal vs Covadonga?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caudal vs Covadonga?
Our predicted score is Caudal 1–1 Covadonga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Caudal vs Covadonga?
Caudal vs Covadonga (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Hermanos Antuña.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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