Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.49
Siero vs San Martín: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Sunday 22 March: Siero v San Martín in the Tercera División RFEF Group 2, played at Estadio El Bayu. In the table, Siero are 11th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; San Martín are 8th (upper half) with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Siero, last 4: LDLD Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Covadonga, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
San Martín, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Gijón Industrial, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours San Martín, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Siero.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Siero 1.3 xG, San Martín 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 45%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Siero 46%, draw 27%, San Martín 27%.
Lower-risk option: Siero or draw (73%) at 1.30.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Siero or draw (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Siero 1–1 San Martín. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Siero46%fair 2.16 · @1.91
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.20
San Martín27%fair 3.75 · @3.60
2.39Expected goals
1.28Siero xG
1.10San Martín xG
45%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Siero 1.3 – 1.1 San Martín expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Siero to win✗
46%
2.16
1.91
Double chance
Siero or draw✗
73%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
–
Draw no bet
Siero (draw no bet)✗
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
San Martín +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Siero to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Siero / FT Siero✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.49
–
Recent results
Siero – last 4
LDLD
15 Mar
@ Covadonga
0–5
L
8 Mar
vs Avilés Stadium
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Llanera
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Llanes
2–2
D
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
San Martín – last 3
LLW
8 Mar
@ Gijón Industrial
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Praviano
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Tuilla
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Siero and San Martín.
Our pick is Siero or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Siero vs San Martín?
On our numbers Siero have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 27% and San Martín 27%.
How many goals will there be in Siero vs San Martín?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Siero vs San Martín?
Our predicted score is Siero 1–1 San Martín, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Siero vs San Martín?
Siero vs San Martín (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Bayu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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