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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Noja v Vimenor: numbers & prediction

Tercera División RFEF Group 3 · Spain · Campo La Caseta
0–2
FT
Noja 20%Draw 23%Vimenor 57% Expected goals 0.81 – 1.72
80%
Betarazi pick

Vimenor or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultVimenor to win ✓57% · @1.83
Double chanceVimenor or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.48

Noja vs Vimenor: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Vimenor travel to face Noja on Wednesday 25 February in the Tercera División RFEF Group 3, with Campo La Caseta the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Noja 0.8 xG, Vimenor 1.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Noja 20%, draw 23%, Vimenor 57%.
  • Lower-risk option: Vimenor or draw (80%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Vimenor or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Noja 0–1 Vimenor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Noja20%fair 5.05 · @3.70
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.40
Vimenor57%fair 1.74 · @1.83
2.53Expected goals
0.81Noja xG
1.72Vimenor xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%

From our goals model: Noja 0.8 – 1.7 Vimenor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVimenor to win ✓57%1.741.83
Double chanceVimenor or draw ✓80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.801.95 ▲
Draw no betVimenor (draw no bet) ✓74%1.35–
Asian handicapNoja +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.86–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
First team to scoreVimenor to score first ✓63%1.60–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vimenor / FT Vimenor ✓37%2.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.48–

Recent results

Noja – last 1

L
21 Febvs Castro1–4L
1.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Vimenor – last 1

L
21 Feb@ Laredo1–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Noja and Vimenor.

Noja vs Vimenor head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tropezón10820+1626
2Cayón10721+1023
3Revilla10631+1121
4Bezana10631+921
5Vimenor10622+920
6Sámano10541+1419
7Laredo10613+1119
8Torina10370+716
9Atlético Mineros10415-613
10Solares10235-69
11Atlético Albericia10154-48
12Castro10226-68
13Guarnizo10226-88
14Barquereño10226-118
15Escobedo10145-97
16Selaya10217-127
17Velarde10136-126
18Naval Reinosa10136-136

More Tercera División RFEF Group 3 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Noja vs Vimenor?

Our pick is Vimenor or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Noja vs Vimenor?

On our numbers Noja have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vimenor 57%.

How many goals will there be in Noja vs Vimenor?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Noja vs Vimenor?

Our predicted score is Noja 0–1 Vimenor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Noja vs Vimenor?

Noja vs Vimenor (Tercera División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo La Caseta.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.