Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVimenor to win ✓57% · @1.83
Double chanceVimenor or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.48
Noja vs Vimenor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Vimenor travel to face Noja on Wednesday 25 February in the Tercera División RFEF Group 3, with Campo La Caseta the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Noja 0.8 xG, Vimenor 1.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Noja 20%, draw 23%, Vimenor 57%.
Lower-risk option: Vimenor or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Vimenor or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Noja 0–1 Vimenor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Noja20%fair 5.05 · @3.70
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.40
Vimenor57%fair 1.74 · @1.83
2.53Expected goals
0.81Noja xG
1.72Vimenor xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Noja 0.8 – 1.7 Vimenor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vimenor to win✓
57%
1.74
1.83
Double chance
Vimenor or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Vimenor (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Noja +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Vimenor to score first✓
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vimenor / FT Vimenor✓
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.48
–
Recent results
Noja – last 1
L
21 Feb
vs Castro
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Vimenor – last 1
L
21 Feb
@ Laredo
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Noja and Vimenor.
Our pick is Vimenor or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Noja vs Vimenor?
On our numbers Noja have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vimenor 57%.
How many goals will there be in Noja vs Vimenor?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Noja vs Vimenor?
Our predicted score is Noja 0–1 Vimenor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Noja vs Vimenor?
Noja vs Vimenor (Tercera División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo La Caseta.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.