Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.04
Castro vs Atlético Albericia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atlético Albericia travel to face Castro on Sunday 15 February in the Tercera División RFEF Group 3, with Campo Riomar the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Castro are 12th, lower half, on 8 points after 10 matches; Atlético Albericia are 11th (lower half) with 8. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Castro 1.3 xG, Atlético Albericia 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Castro 35%, draw 28%, Atlético Albericia 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Castro 1–1 Atlético Albericia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Castro35%fair 2.85 · @2.60
Draw28%fair 3.58 · @2.75
Atlético Albericia37%fair 2.71 · @2.70
2.58Expected goals
1.26Castro xG
1.32Atlético Albericia xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Castro 1.3 – 1.3 Atlético Albericia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlético Albericia to win✓
37%
2.71
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
–
Draw no bet
Atlético Albericia (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Castro +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Atlético Albericia to score first✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlético Albericia / FT Atlético Albericia✗
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.04
–
Recent results
Castro
No recent results on record.
Atlético Albericia
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Castro and Atlético Albericia.
What is the prediction for Castro vs Atlético Albericia?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Castro vs Atlético Albericia?
On our numbers Castro have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Atlético Albericia 37%.
How many goals will there be in Castro vs Atlético Albericia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Castro vs Atlético Albericia?
Our predicted score is Castro 1–1 Atlético Albericia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Castro vs Atlético Albericia?
Castro vs Atlético Albericia (Tercera División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Riomar.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gimnástica Torrelavega6
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