Value bet: Revilla to win @ 3.65 – our chance 36% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +32%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGuarnizo to win ✓40% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓7% · fair 13.88
Revilla vs Guarnizo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Revilla welcome Guarnizo to Estadio Municipal for a Tercera División RFEF Group 3 fixture on Sunday 15 February (18:30 WAT). In the table, Revilla are 3rd, among the top four, on 21 points after 10 matches; Guarnizo are 13th (lower half) with 8. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Revilla 1.6 xG, Guarnizo 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Revilla 36%, draw 24%, Guarnizo 40%.
Price worth noting: Revilla to win @3.65 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Revilla 2–1 Guarnizo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Revilla36%fair 2.77 · @3.65
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.35
Guarnizo40%fair 2.48 · @1.83
2.92Expected goals
1.64Revilla xG
1.27Guarnizo xG
53%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–07%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Revilla 1.6 – 1.3 Guarnizo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guarnizo to win✓
40%
2.48
1.83
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Guarnizo (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Guarnizo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Revilla to score first✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Revilla / FT Revilla✗
28%
3.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
7%
13.88
–
Recent results
Revilla
No recent results on record.
Guarnizo
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Revilla and Guarnizo.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Revilla vs Guarnizo?
On our numbers Revilla have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Guarnizo 40%.
How many goals will there be in Revilla vs Guarnizo?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Revilla vs Guarnizo?
Our predicted score is Revilla 2–1 Guarnizo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Revilla vs Guarnizo?
Revilla vs Guarnizo (Tercera División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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