Value bet: Aurrerá Vitoria to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultZamudio to win ✓42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.37
Zamudio vs Aurrerá Vitoria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:30 WAT, Sunday 15 February: Zamudio v Aurrerá Vitoria in the Tercera División RFEF Group 4, played at Estadio Udal Kiroldegia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zamudio 1.5 xG, Aurrerá Vitoria 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zamudio 42%, draw 25%, Aurrerá Vitoria 33%.
Price worth noting: Aurrerá Vitoria to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (52%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zamudio 1–1 Aurrerá Vitoria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zamudio42%fair 2.36 · @2.00
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.10
Aurrerá Vitoria33%fair 3.05 · @3.30
2.81Expected goals
1.48Zamudio xG
1.32Aurrerá Vitoria xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Zamudio 1.5 – 1.3 Aurrerá Vitoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zamudio to win✓
42%
2.36
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
–
Draw no bet
Zamudio (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Aurrerá Vitoria +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Zamudio to score first✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zamudio / FT Zamudio✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.37
–
Recent results
Zamudio
No recent results on record.
Aurrerá Vitoria
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zamudio and Aurrerá Vitoria.
What is the prediction for Zamudio vs Aurrerá Vitoria?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Zamudio vs Aurrerá Vitoria?
On our numbers Zamudio have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Aurrerá Vitoria 33%.
How many goals will there be in Zamudio vs Aurrerá Vitoria?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zamudio vs Aurrerá Vitoria?
Our predicted score is Zamudio 1–1 Aurrerá Vitoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Zamudio vs Aurrerá Vitoria?
Zamudio vs Aurrerá Vitoria (Tercera División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Udal Kiroldegia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
