Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.47
San Ignacio vs Leioa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Sunday 19 April: San Ignacio v Leioa in the Tercera División RFEF Group 4, played at Campo de fútbol Los Astrónomos. In the table, San Ignacio are 10th, lower half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Leioa are 1st (leading the league) with 22.
Current form
San Ignacio, last 4: WLDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Añorga, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Ignacio 1.4 xG, Leioa 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Ignacio 40%, draw 25%, Leioa 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Ignacio 1–1 Leioa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Ignacio40%fair 2.50 · @2.55
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.10
Leioa35%fair 2.83 · @2.50
2.69Expected goals
1.43San Ignacio xG
1.27Leioa xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: San Ignacio 1.4 – 1.3 Leioa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Ignacio to win✗
40%
2.50
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
–
Draw no bet
San Ignacio (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Leioa +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
San Ignacio to score first✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Ignacio / FT San Ignacio✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.47
–
Recent results
San Ignacio – last 4
WLDL
2 Apr
vs Añorga
2–0
W
22 Mar
vs Aretxabaleta
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Real Sociedad III
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Pasaia KE
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Leioa – last 2
LW
1 Apr
@ Touring
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Durango
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Ignacio and Leioa.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win San Ignacio vs Leioa?
On our numbers San Ignacio have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Leioa 35%.
How many goals will there be in San Ignacio vs Leioa?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Ignacio vs Leioa?
Our predicted score is San Ignacio 1–1 Leioa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is San Ignacio vs Leioa?
San Ignacio vs Leioa (Tercera División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo de fútbol Los Astrónomos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.