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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

San Ignacio v Leioa: numbers & prediction

Tercera División RFEF Group 4 · Spain · Campo de fútbol Los Astrónomos
1–2
FT
San Ignacio 40%Draw 25%Leioa 35% Expected goals 1.43 – 1.27
56%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.78 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultSan Ignacio to win ✗40% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.47

San Ignacio vs Leioa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Sunday 19 April: San Ignacio v Leioa in the Tercera División RFEF Group 4, played at Campo de fútbol Los Astrónomos. In the table, San Ignacio are 10th, lower half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Leioa are 1st (leading the league) with 22.

Current form

San Ignacio, last 4: WLDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Añorga, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give San Ignacio 1.4 xG, Leioa 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – San Ignacio 40%, draw 25%, Leioa 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Ignacio 1–1 Leioa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

San Ignacio40%fair 2.50 · @2.55
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.10
Leioa35%fair 2.83 · @2.50
2.69Expected goals
1.43San Ignacio xG
1.27Leioa xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: San Ignacio 1.4 – 1.3 Leioa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSan Ignacio to win ✗40%2.502.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%1.99–
Draw no betSan Ignacio (draw no bet) ✗53%1.88–
Asian handicapLeioa +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.40–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreSan Ignacio to score first ✗49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT San Ignacio / FT San Ignacio ✗24%4.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.47–

Recent results

San Ignacio – last 4

WLDL
2 Aprvs Añorga2–0W
22 Marvs Aretxabaleta0–1L
1 Mar@ Real Sociedad III0–0D
22 Febvs Pasaia KE0–2L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Leioa – last 2

LW
1 Apr@ Touring1–2L
21 Febvs Durango2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between San Ignacio and Leioa.

San Ignacio vs Leioa head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 4 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Leioa10640+1622
2Aurrerá Vitoria10712+322
3Deportivo Alavés III10532+1118
4Real Sociedad III10532+718
5Derio10532+418
6Durango10451+517
7Aretxabaleta10523+117
8Touring10433+215
9Beasain10424+614
10San Ignacio10424+414
11Eibar III10424+214
12Sodupe10424-814
13Lagun Onak10325-311
14R. Union B10244-610
15Pasaia KE10316-910
16Santurtzi10307-69
17Erandio10208-86
18Amurrio Club10019-211

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Ignacio vs Leioa?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win San Ignacio vs Leioa?

On our numbers San Ignacio have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Leioa 35%.

How many goals will there be in San Ignacio vs Leioa?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for San Ignacio vs Leioa?

Our predicted score is San Ignacio 1–1 Leioa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is San Ignacio vs Leioa?

San Ignacio vs Leioa (Tercera División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo de fútbol Los Astrónomos.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.