Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultCastellonense to win ✓62% · @1.40
Double chanceCastellonense or draw ✓86% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.40
Castellonense vs Alzira: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alzira travel to face Castellonense on Sunday 22 February in the Tercera División RFEF Group 6, with Camp Poliesportiu Municipal Antonio Escuriet the venue – the ball rolls at 11:45 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Castellonense 1.8 xG, Alzira 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Castellonense 62%, draw 24%, Alzira 14%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Castellonense to win (62%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Castellonense 1–0 Alzira. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Castellonense62%fair 1.61 · @1.40
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.65
Alzira14%fair 7.24 · @7.40
2.59Expected goals
1.80Castellonense xG
0.79Alzira xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Castellonense 1.8 – 0.8 Alzira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Castellonense
Alzira
Attack vs Tercera División RFEF Group 6 average
+8%
-14%
Goals conceded vs average
-13%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.87
0.91
Our own ratings from every Tercera División RFEF Group 6 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Castellonense to win✓
62%
1.61
1.40
Double chance
Castellonense or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
–
Draw no bet
Castellonense (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Castellonense -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Castellonense to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Castellonense ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Castellonense / FT Castellonense✓
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.40
–
Recent results
Castellonense – last 1
W
16 Feb
@ Jove Español
4–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Alzira – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs Ontinyent 1931
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Castellonense and Alzira.
What is the prediction for Castellonense vs Alzira?
Our pick is Castellonense to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Castellonense vs Alzira?
On our numbers Castellonense have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Alzira 14%.
How many goals will there be in Castellonense vs Alzira?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Castellonense vs Alzira?
Our predicted score is Castellonense 1–0 Alzira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Castellonense vs Alzira?
Castellonense vs Alzira (Tercera División RFEF Group 6) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 11:45 (West Africa Time) at Camp Poliesportiu Municipal Antonio Escuriet.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
La Nucía2
Buñol0
Crevillente2
Soneja2