La Nucía 53%Draw 27%Buñol 20%Expected goals 1.51 – 0.91
58%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultLa Nucía to win ✓53% · @1.83
Double chanceLa Nucía or draw ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.49
La Nucía vs Buñol: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
La Nucía welcome Buñol to Estadio Camilo Cano for a Tercera División RFEF Group 6 fixture on Sunday 22 February (17:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give La Nucía 1.5 xG, Buñol 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – La Nucía 53%, draw 27%, Buñol 20%.
Lower-risk option: La Nucía or draw (80%) at 1.18.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: La Nucía 1–0 Buñol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
La Nucía53%fair 1.89 · @1.83
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.20
Buñol20%fair 4.90 · @3.90
2.43Expected goals
1.51La Nucía xG
0.91Buñol xG
46%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: La Nucía 1.5 – 0.9 Buñol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
La Nucía
Buñol
Attack vs Tercera División RFEF Group 6 average
+5%
+5%
Goals conceded vs average
-25%
+8%
Our expected goals here
1.65
1.12
Our own ratings from every Tercera División RFEF Group 6 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
La Nucía to win✓
53%
1.89
1.83
Double chance
La Nucía or draw✓
80%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
–
Draw no bet
La Nucía (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Buñol +1 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
La Nucía to score first✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT La Nucía / FT La Nucía✗
31%
3.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.49
–
Recent results
La Nucía – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Utiel
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Buñol
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between La Nucía and Buñol.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win La Nucía vs Buñol?
On our numbers La Nucía have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Buñol 20%.
How many goals will there be in La Nucía vs Buñol?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for La Nucía vs Buñol?
Our predicted score is La Nucía 1–0 Buñol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is La Nucía vs Buñol?
La Nucía vs Buñol (Tercera División RFEF Group 6) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Camilo Cano.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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