Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.73
Platges Calvià vs Formentera: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 4 March the Tercera División RFEF Group 11 brings Platges Calvià against Formentera at Polideportivo Municipal de Magaluf. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Platges Calvià are 1st, leading the league, on 24 points after 10 matches; Formentera are 9th (upper half) with 14.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Platges Calvià 1.4 xG, Formentera 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Platges Calvià 45%, draw 25%, Formentera 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Platges Calvià 1–0 Formentera. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Platges Calvià45%fair 2.22 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.30
Formentera30%fair 3.32 · @2.80
2.39Expected goals
1.42Platges Calvià xG
0.98Formentera xG
46%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
2–09%
0–09%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Platges Calvià 1.4 – 1.0 Formentera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Platges Calvià
Formentera
Attack vs Tercera División RFEF Group 11 average
+31%
-0%
Goals conceded vs average
-24%
-20%
Our expected goals here
1.64
0.95
Our own ratings from every Tercera División RFEF Group 11 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Platges Calvià to win✗
45%
2.22
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
–
Draw no bet
Platges Calvià (draw no bet)✗
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Formentera +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Platges Calvià to score first✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Platges Calvià / FT Platges Calvià✗
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.73
–
Recent results
Platges Calvià – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Mallorca II
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Formentera – last 1
W
22 Feb
vs Son Cladera
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Platges Calvià and Formentera.
What is the prediction for Platges Calvià vs Formentera?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Platges Calvià vs Formentera?
On our numbers Platges Calvià have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Formentera 30%.
How many goals will there be in Platges Calvià vs Formentera?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Platges Calvià vs Formentera?
Our predicted score is Platges Calvià 1–0 Formentera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Platges Calvià vs Formentera?
Platges Calvià vs Formentera (Tercera División RFEF Group 11) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Polideportivo Municipal de Magaluf.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Collerense1