Value bet: Bala Azul to win @ 2.38 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBala Azul to win ✓45% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.47
Bala Azul vs Real Murcia II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Sunday 5 April: Bala Azul v Real Murcia II in the Tercera División RFEF Group 13, played at Complejo Deportivo Mazarrón.
Current form
Bala Azul, last 5: DDDDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with SFC Minerva, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Real Murcia II, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Olímpico Totana, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bala Azul 1.5 xG, Real Murcia II 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bala Azul 45%, draw 25%, Real Murcia II 30%.
Price worth noting: Bala Azul to win @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bala Azul 1–1 Real Murcia II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bala Azul45%fair 2.22 · @2.38
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.20
Real Murcia II30%fair 3.32 · @2.60
2.56Expected goals
1.53Bala Azul xG
1.03Real Murcia II xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Bala Azul 1.5 – 1.0 Real Murcia II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bala Azul to win✓
45%
2.22
2.38 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
–
Draw no bet
Bala Azul (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Real Murcia II +1 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Bala Azul to score first✓
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bala Azul / FT Bala Azul✗
29%
3.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.47
–
Recent results
Bala Azul – last 6
DDDDDW
22 Mar
vs SFC Minerva
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Atlético Pulpileño
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Águilas II
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ UCAM Murcia II
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Mazarrón FC
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ El Palmar
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Real Murcia II – last 6
LDLWWW
28 Mar
vs Olímpico Totana
2–4
L
22 Mar
@ Cartagena LU II
1–1
D
18 Mar
@ Águilas II
0–4
L
8 Mar
vs Yeclano II
4–0
W
1 Mar
@ SFC Minerva
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Atlético Pulpileño
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bala Azul and Real Murcia II.
What is the prediction for Bala Azul vs Real Murcia II?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Bala Azul vs Real Murcia II?
On our numbers Bala Azul have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Real Murcia II 30%.
How many goals will there be in Bala Azul vs Real Murcia II?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bala Azul vs Real Murcia II?
Our predicted score is Bala Azul 1–1 Real Murcia II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Bala Azul vs Real Murcia II?
Bala Azul vs Real Murcia II (Tercera División RFEF Group 13) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Complejo Deportivo Mazarrón.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
