Value bet: Balsicas Atlético to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMazarrón FC to win ✗40% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.47
Balsicas Atlético vs Mazarrón FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mazarrón FC travel to face Balsicas Atlético on Sunday 5 April in the Tercera División RFEF Group 13 – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Balsicas Atlético are 9th, upper half, on 13 points after 9 matches; Mazarrón FC are 18th (in the drop zone) with 4.
Current form
Balsicas Atlético, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to El Palmar, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Mazarrón FC, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Unión Molinense, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Balsicas Atlético 1.3 xG, Mazarrón FC 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Balsicas Atlético 34%, draw 26%, Mazarrón FC 40%.
Price worth noting: Balsicas Atlético to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Balsicas Atlético 1–1 Mazarrón FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Balsicas Atlético34%fair 2.95 · @3.40
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.10
Mazarrón FC40%fair 2.47 · @2.00
2.57Expected goals
1.30Balsicas Atlético xG
1.27Mazarrón FC xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Balsicas Atlético 1.3 – 1.3 Mazarrón FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mazarrón FC to win✗
40%
2.47
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
–
Draw no bet
Mazarrón FC (draw no bet)
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Mazarrón FC +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Balsicas Atlético to score first✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Balsicas Atlético / FT Balsicas Atlético✗
22%
4.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.47
–
Recent results
Balsicas Atlético – last 5
LWDWL
29 Mar
@ El Palmar
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Muleño
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Unión Molinense
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Santomera
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Cieza
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Mazarrón FC – last 6
WWDDDL
29 Mar
vs Unión Molinense
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Santomera
5–0
W
8 Mar
@ UD Caravaca
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Cieza
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Bala Azul
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Olímpico Totana
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Balsicas Atlético and Mazarrón FC.
What is the prediction for Balsicas Atlético vs Mazarrón FC?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Balsicas Atlético vs Mazarrón FC?
On our numbers Balsicas Atlético have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mazarrón FC 40%.
How many goals will there be in Balsicas Atlético vs Mazarrón FC?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Balsicas Atlético vs Mazarrón FC?
Our predicted score is Balsicas Atlético 1–1 Mazarrón FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Balsicas Atlético vs Mazarrón FC?
Balsicas Atlético vs Mazarrón FC (Tercera División RFEF Group 13) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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