Value bet: Avance Ezcabarte to win @ 3.25 – our chance 40% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAvance Ezcabarte to win ✗40% · @3.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.37
Cortes vs Avance Ezcabarte: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Avance Ezcabarte travel to face Cortes on Sunday 22 March in the Tercera División RFEF Group 15, with Estadio San Francisco Javier the venue – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, Cortes are 17th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 10 matches; Avance Ezcabarte are 8th (upper half) with 14.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cortes 1.1 xG, Avance Ezcabarte 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 45%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cortes 35%, draw 25%, Avance Ezcabarte 40%.
Price worth noting: Avance Ezcabarte to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cortes 1–1 Avance Ezcabarte. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cortes35%fair 2.85 · @2.00
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.30
Avance Ezcabarte40%fair 2.52 · @3.25
2.48Expected goals
1.05Cortes xG
1.43Avance Ezcabarte xG
45%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–29%
1–09%
0–29%
0–08%
From our goals model: Cortes 1.1 – 1.4 Avance Ezcabarte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Avance Ezcabarte to win✗
40%
2.52
3.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
–
Draw no bet
Avance Ezcabarte (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Cortes +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Avance Ezcabarte to score first✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Avance Ezcabarte / FT Avance Ezcabarte✗
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.37
–
Recent results
Cortes – last 2
LD
18 Mar
@ Peña Sport
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Valle Egüés
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Avance Ezcabarte – last 1
W
28 Feb
vs Bidezarra
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cortes and Avance Ezcabarte.
What is the prediction for Cortes vs Avance Ezcabarte?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Cortes vs Avance Ezcabarte?
On our numbers Cortes have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Avance Ezcabarte 40%.
How many goals will there be in Cortes vs Avance Ezcabarte?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cortes vs Avance Ezcabarte?
Our predicted score is Cortes 1–1 Avance Ezcabarte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Cortes vs Avance Ezcabarte?
Cortes vs Avance Ezcabarte (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio San Francisco Javier.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Peña Sport2