Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗5% · fair 20.37
Yagüe vs Pradejón: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 March the Tercera División RFEF Group 16 brings Yagüe against Pradejón at Estadio El Salvador. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Yagüe are 12th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Pradejón are 11th (lower half) with 13. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Yagüe, last 3: WDD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Anguiano, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Pradejón, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Anguiano, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game.
Momentum favours Yagüe, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.6 for Pradejón.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Yagüe 1.6 xG, Pradejón 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Yagüe 54%, draw 25%, Pradejón 21%.
Lower-risk option: Yagüe or draw (79%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Yagüe to win (54%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yagüe 1–0 Pradejón. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Yagüe54%fair 1.86 · @1.67
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.60
Pradejón21%fair 4.75 · @4.20
2.65Expected goals
1.61Yagüe xG
1.04Pradejón xG
48%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Yagüe 1.6 – 1.0 Pradejón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Yagüe to win✗
54%
1.86
1.67
Double chance
Yagüe or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
–
Draw no bet
Yagüe (draw no bet)
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Pradejón +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Yagüe to score first✗
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Yagüe / FT Yagüe✗
31%
3.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
5%
20.37
–
Recent results
Yagüe – last 3
WDD
8 Mar
vs Anguiano
4–2
W
1 Mar
@ La Calzada
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Varea
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Pradejón – last 5
LLLWL
15 Mar
vs Anguiano
0–3
L
8 Mar
@ Haro Deportivo
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Agoncillo
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Villegas
2–0
W
15 Feb
vs Calahorra
0–2
L
0.4Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
0%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yagüe and Pradejón.
Our pick is Yagüe to win with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Yagüe vs Pradejón?
On our numbers Yagüe have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pradejón 21%.
How many goals will there be in Yagüe vs Pradejón?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yagüe vs Pradejón?
Our predicted score is Yagüe 1–0 Pradejón, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Yagüe vs Pradejón?
Yagüe vs Pradejón (Tercera División RFEF Group 16) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Salvador.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Villegas4
Autol0