Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
1
Value bet: Villarrobledo to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVillarrobledo to win ✓38% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓69% · @1.38
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.53
Villarrobledo vs Villarrubia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 February the Tercera División RFEF Group 18 brings Villarrobledo against Villarrubia at Estadio Nuestra Señora de la Caridad. Kick-off: 11:30 WAT. In the table, Villarrobledo are 5th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Villarrubia are 11th (lower half) with 13.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Villarrobledo 1.2 xG, Villarrubia 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Villarrobledo 38%, draw 31%, Villarrubia 32%.
Price worth noting: Villarrobledo to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (59%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villarrobledo 1–1 Villarrubia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Villarrobledo38%fair 2.66 · @2.88
Draw31%fair 3.25 · @2.62
Villarrubia32%fair 3.15 · @2.55
2.02Expected goals
1.16Villarrobledo xG
0.87Villarrubia xG
43%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–013%
1–113%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Villarrobledo 1.2 – 0.9 Villarrubia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villarrobledo to win✓
38%
2.66
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
69%
1.44
1.38
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
–
Draw no bet
Villarrobledo (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Villarrubia +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Villarrobledo to score first✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villarrobledo / FT Villarrobledo✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.53
–
Recent results
Villarrobledo
No recent results on record.
Villarrubia
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villarrobledo and Villarrubia.
What is the prediction for Villarrobledo vs Villarrubia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Villarrobledo vs Villarrubia?
On our numbers Villarrobledo have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Villarrubia 32%.
How many goals will there be in Villarrobledo vs Villarrubia?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villarrobledo vs Villarrubia?
Our predicted score is Villarrobledo 1–1 Villarrubia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Villarrobledo vs Villarrubia?
Villarrobledo vs Villarrubia (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuestra Señora de la Caridad.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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