Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.35
Illescas vs Pedroñeras: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Illescas welcome Pedroñeras to Estadio Municipal de Illescas for a Tercera División RFEF Group 18 fixture on Sunday 15 February (12:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Illescas 1.3 xG, Pedroñeras 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Illescas 49%, draw 27%, Pedroñeras 23%.
Lower-risk option: Illescas or draw (77%) at 1.15.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Illescas 1–0 Pedroñeras. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Illescas49%fair 2.04 · @1.73
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @3.30
Pedroñeras23%fair 4.26 · @4.33
2.28Expected goals
1.33Illescas xG
0.95Pedroñeras xG
46%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Illescas 1.3 – 1.0 Pedroñeras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Illescas to win✗
49%
2.04
1.73
Double chance
Illescas or draw✗
77%
1.31
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Illescas (draw no bet)✗
68%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Pedroñeras +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Illescas to score first✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Illescas / FT Illescas✗
26%
3.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.35
–
Recent results
Illescas
No recent results on record.
Pedroñeras
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Illescas and Pedroñeras.
What is the prediction for Illescas vs Pedroñeras?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Illescas vs Pedroñeras?
On our numbers Illescas have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Pedroñeras 23%.
How many goals will there be in Illescas vs Pedroñeras?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Illescas vs Pedroñeras?
Our predicted score is Illescas 1–0 Pedroñeras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Illescas vs Pedroñeras?
Illescas vs Pedroñeras (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Illescas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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