Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultVillarrubia to win ✗36% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.58
Illescas vs Villarrubia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Sunday 1 March: Illescas v Villarrubia in the Tercera División RFEF Group 18, played at Estadio Municipal de Illescas. In the table, Illescas are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Villarrubia are 11th (lower half) with 13.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Illescas 1.1 xG, Villarrubia 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Illescas 35%, draw 28%, Villarrubia 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Illescas 1–1 Villarrubia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Illescas35%fair 2.82 · @2.88
Draw28%fair 3.55 · @2.90
Villarrubia36%fair 2.75 · @2.38
2.23Expected goals
1.15Illescas xG
1.09Villarrubia xG
47%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Illescas 1.1 – 1.1 Villarrubia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villarrubia to win✗
36%
2.75
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Villarrubia (draw no bet)
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Villarrubia +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Illescas to score first✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Illescas / FT Illescas✗
21%
4.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.58
–
Recent results
Illescas – last 2
LL
21 Feb
@ Tarancón
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Pedroñeras
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Villarrubia – last 2
WL
21 Feb
vs Manchego
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Villarrobledo
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Illescas and Villarrubia.
What is the prediction for Illescas vs Villarrubia?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Illescas vs Villarrubia?
On our numbers Illescas have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Villarrubia 36%.
How many goals will there be in Illescas vs Villarrubia?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Illescas vs Villarrubia?
Our predicted score is Illescas 1–1 Villarrubia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Illescas vs Villarrubia?
Illescas vs Villarrubia (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Illescas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pedroñeras0
Calvo Sotelo3
Sonseca1
Cazalegas0