Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Toledo vs Cazalegas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Toledo welcome Cazalegas to Estadio Municipal Salto del Caballo for a Tercera División RFEF Group 18 fixture on Sunday 1 March (17:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Toledo 2.1 xG, Cazalegas 0.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 44%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Toledo 70%, draw 21%, Cazalegas 10%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Toledo to win (70%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Toledo 2–0 Cazalegas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Toledo70%fair 1.43 · @1.33
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @4.20
Cazalegas10%fair 10.38 · @8.00
2.70Expected goals
2.06Toledo xG
0.64Cazalegas xG
44%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Toledo 2.1 – 0.6 Cazalegas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Toledo to win✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Double chance
Toledo or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
–
Draw no bet
Toledo (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Toledo -1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Toledo to score first✓
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Toledo ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Toledo / FT Toledo✓
46%
2.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
Toledo – last 2
WW
22 Feb
@ Huracán Balazote
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Guadalajara II
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Cazalegas – last 2
LD
22 Feb
@ Sonseca
0–3
L
15 Feb
vs Huracán Balazote
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Toledo and Cazalegas.
Our pick is Toledo to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Toledo vs Cazalegas?
On our numbers Toledo have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cazalegas 10%.
How many goals will there be in Toledo vs Cazalegas?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toledo vs Cazalegas?
Our predicted score is Toledo 2–0 Cazalegas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Toledo vs Cazalegas?
Toledo vs Cazalegas (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Salto del Caballo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pedroñeras0
Calvo Sotelo3
Sonseca1