Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Tarancón to win @ 3.60 – our chance 30% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCalvo Sotelo to win ✓44% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.35
Calvo Sotelo vs Tarancón: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tarancón travel to face Calvo Sotelo on Sunday 15 March in the Tercera División RFEF Group 18, with Estadio Ciudad de Puertollano the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.
Current form
Calvo Sotelo, last 4: DWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Pedroñeras, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Calvo Sotelo 1.2 xG, Tarancón 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Calvo Sotelo 44%, draw 26%, Tarancón 30%.
Price worth noting: Tarancón to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Calvo Sotelo 1–1 Tarancón. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Calvo Sotelo44%fair 2.28 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.00
Tarancón30%fair 3.33 · @3.60
2.42Expected goals
1.20Calvo Sotelo xG
1.22Tarancón xG
48%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Calvo Sotelo 1.2 – 1.2 Tarancón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Calvo Sotelo to win✓
44%
2.28
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
–
Draw no bet
Calvo Sotelo (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Calvo Sotelo +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Tarancón to score first✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tarancón / FT Tarancón✗
21%
4.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.35
–
Recent results
Calvo Sotelo – last 4
DWWL
8 Mar
@ Pedroñeras
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Sonseca
3–1
W
22 Feb
vs San Clemente
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Villacañas
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tarancón – last 1
W
21 Feb
vs Illescas
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Calvo Sotelo and Tarancón.
What is the prediction for Calvo Sotelo vs Tarancón?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Calvo Sotelo vs Tarancón?
On our numbers Calvo Sotelo have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tarancón 30%.
How many goals will there be in Calvo Sotelo vs Tarancón?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Calvo Sotelo vs Tarancón?
Our predicted score is Calvo Sotelo 1–1 Tarancón, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Calvo Sotelo vs Tarancón?
Calvo Sotelo vs Tarancón (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad de Puertollano.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
