Value bet: Villarrobledo to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLa Solana to win ✗35% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓69% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.66
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.35
La Solana vs Villarrobledo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
La Solana welcome Villarrobledo to Estadio La Moheda for a Tercera División RFEF Group 18 fixture on Thursday 2 April (16:00 WAT). In the table, La Solana are 14th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Villarrobledo are 5th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
La Solana, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Albacete II, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Villarrobledo, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Toledo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Villarrobledo, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.3 for La Solana.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give La Solana 0.9 xG, Villarrobledo 1.0 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – La Solana 35%, draw 31%, Villarrobledo 34%.
Price worth noting: Villarrobledo to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: La Solana 0–0 Villarrobledo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
La Solana35%fair 2.87 · @2.15
Draw31%fair 3.24 · @2.88
Villarrobledo34%fair 2.92 · @3.30
1.86Expected goals
0.87La Solana xG
0.99Villarrobledo xG
40%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–016%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: La Solana 0.9 – 1.0 Villarrobledo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
La Solana to win✗
35%
2.87
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
69%
1.45
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
–
Draw no bet
La Solana (draw no bet)✗
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
La Solana +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Villarrobledo to score first
45%
2.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.35
–
Recent results
La Solana – last 6
LLDLLD
29 Mar
@ Albacete II
0–4
L
22 Mar
@ Sonseca
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Toledo
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Cazalegas
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Huracán Balazote
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Guadalajara II
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Villarrobledo – last 5
DWDWW
29 Mar
vs Toledo
0–0
D
22 Mar
@ Cazalegas
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Huracán Balazote
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Marchamalo
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Villarrubia
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between La Solana and Villarrobledo.
What is the prediction for La Solana vs Villarrobledo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win La Solana vs Villarrobledo?
On our numbers La Solana have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Villarrobledo 34%.
How many goals will there be in La Solana vs Villarrobledo?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for La Solana vs Villarrobledo?
Our predicted score is La Solana 0–0 Villarrobledo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is La Solana vs Villarrobledo?
La Solana vs Villarrobledo (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Moheda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
