Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.95
Villarrubia vs Tarancón: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 2 April the Tercera División RFEF Group 18 brings Villarrubia against Tarancón at Campo Nuevo Municipal. Kick-off: 11:30 WAT. In the table, Villarrubia are 11th, lower half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Tarancón are 7th (upper half) with 15. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Villarrubia, last 4: LDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to San Clemente, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Villarrubia 1.3 xG, Tarancón 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Villarrubia 37%, draw 26%, Tarancón 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villarrubia 1–1 Tarancón. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Villarrubia37%fair 2.73 · @2.70
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.10
Tarancón37%fair 2.69 · @2.38
2.48Expected goals
1.28Villarrubia xG
1.20Tarancón xG
46%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Villarrubia 1.3 – 1.2 Tarancón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tarancón to win✗
37%
2.69
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
–
Draw no bet
Tarancón (draw no bet)✗
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Tarancón +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Villarrubia to score first✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villarrubia / FT Villarrubia✗
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.95
–
Recent results
Villarrubia – last 4
LDWL
15 Mar
@ San Clemente
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ Illescas
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Manchego
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Villarrobledo
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Tarancón – last 2
LW
15 Mar
@ Calvo Sotelo
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs Illescas
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villarrubia and Tarancón.
What is the prediction for Villarrubia vs Tarancón?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Villarrubia vs Tarancón?
On our numbers Villarrubia have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tarancón 37%.
How many goals will there be in Villarrubia vs Tarancón?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villarrubia vs Tarancón?
Our predicted score is Villarrubia 1–1 Tarancón, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Villarrubia vs Tarancón?
Villarrubia vs Tarancón (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo Nuevo Municipal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
