Safa Baku 60%Draw 24%Mingəçevir 16%Expected goals 2.07 – 1.00
60%
Betarazi pick
Safa Baku to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultSafa Baku to win ✗60% · @1.62
Double chanceSafa Baku or draw ✓84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Safa Baku vs Mingəçevir: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Safa Baku welcome Mingəçevir for a Birinci Dasta fixture on Thursday 19 February (11:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Safa Baku 2.1 xG, Mingəçevir 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Safa Baku 60%, draw 24%, Mingəçevir 16%.
Lower-risk option: Safa Baku or draw (84%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Safa Baku to win (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Safa Baku 2–1 Mingəçevir. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Safa Baku60%fair 1.68 · @1.62
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Mingəçevir16%fair 6.16 · @5.00
3.08Expected goals
2.07Safa Baku xG
1.00Mingəçevir xG
55%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–010%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Safa Baku 2.1 – 1.0 Mingəçevir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Safa Baku to win✗
60%
1.68
1.62
Double chance
Safa Baku or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.85
Draw no bet
Safa Baku (draw no bet)
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Safa Baku -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Safa Baku to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Safa Baku ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Safa Baku / FT Safa Baku✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
Safa Baku
No recent results on record.
Mingəçevir – last 1
D
13 Feb
vs Zaqatala
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Safa Baku and Mingəçevir.
What is the prediction for Safa Baku vs Mingəçevir?
Our pick is Safa Baku to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Safa Baku vs Mingəçevir?
On our numbers Safa Baku have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mingəçevir 16%.
How many goals will there be in Safa Baku vs Mingəçevir?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Safa Baku vs Mingəçevir?
Our predicted score is Safa Baku 2–1 Mingəçevir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Safa Baku vs Mingəçevir?
Safa Baku vs Mingəçevir (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 19 February 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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