Şimal 15%Draw 19%Şahdağ 66%Expected goals 0.98 – 2.51
66%
Betarazi pick
Şahdağ to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultŞahdağ to win ✓66% · @1.50
Double chanceŞahdağ or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.62
Şimal vs Şahdağ: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Şimal welcome Şahdağ for a Birinci Dasta fixture on Thursday 19 February (12:00 WAT). In the table, Şimal are 6th, lower half, on 8 points after 7 matches; Şahdağ are 2nd (among the top four) with 15.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Şimal 1.0 xG, Şahdağ 2.5 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Şimal 15%, draw 19%, Şahdağ 66%.
Lower-risk option: Şahdağ or draw (85%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Şahdağ to win (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Şimal 0–2 Şahdağ. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Şimal15%fair 6.64 · @4.50
Draw19%fair 5.39 · @4.33
Şahdağ66%fair 1.51 · @1.50
3.49Expected goals
0.98Şimal xG
2.51Şahdağ xG
59%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–210%
1–29%
0–38%
1–38%
0–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Şimal 1.0 – 2.5 Şahdağ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Şahdağ to win✓
66%
1.51
1.50
Double chance
Şahdağ or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.70
Draw no bet
Şahdağ (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Şahdağ -1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
First team to score
Şahdağ to score first✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Şahdağ ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Şahdağ / FT Şahdağ✓
48%
2.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.62
–
Recent results
Şimal – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ Difai Ağsu
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Şahdağ
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Şimal and Şahdağ.
Our pick is Şahdağ to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Şimal vs Şahdağ?
On our numbers Şimal have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Şahdağ 66%.
How many goals will there be in Şimal vs Şahdağ?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Şimal vs Şahdağ?
Our predicted score is Şimal 0–2 Şahdağ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Şimal vs Şahdağ?
Şimal vs Şahdağ (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 19 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Safa Baku2
Difai Ağsu1