Şimal 24%Draw 21%Cəbrayıl 55%Expected goals 1.39 – 2.12
62%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultCəbrayıl to win ✗55% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.74
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62% · @1.70
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.71
Şimal vs Cəbrayıl: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Tuesday 24 February: Şimal v Cəbrayıl in the Birinci Dasta. In the table, Şimal are 6th, lower half, on 8 points after 7 matches; Cəbrayıl are 1st (leading the league) with 16.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Şimal 1.4 xG, Cəbrayıl 2.1 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Şimal 24%, draw 21%, Cəbrayıl 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Şimal 1–2 Cəbrayıl. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Şimal24%fair 4.09 · @3.40
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.60
Cəbrayıl55%fair 1.83 · @1.85
3.51Expected goals
1.39Şimal xG
2.12Cəbrayıl xG
58%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–19%
0–27%
1–37%
2–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Şimal 1.4 – 2.1 Cəbrayıl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cəbrayıl to win✗
55%
1.83
1.85
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
–
Draw no bet
Cəbrayıl (draw no bet)✗
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Şimal +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
–
First team to score
Cəbrayıl to score first
59%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Cəbrayıl ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cəbrayıl / FT Cəbrayıl✗
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.71
–
Recent results
Şimal – last 2
LL
19 Feb
vs Şahdağ
0–1
L
13 Feb
@ Difai Ağsu
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cəbrayıl – last 1
L
18 Feb
vs Baku Sportinq
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Şimal and Cəbrayıl.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Şimal vs Cəbrayıl?
On our numbers Şimal have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cəbrayıl 55%.
How many goals will there be in Şimal vs Cəbrayıl?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Şimal vs Cəbrayıl?
Our predicted score is Şimal 1–2 Cəbrayıl, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Şimal vs Cəbrayıl?
Şimal vs Cəbrayıl (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
