Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.61
Səbail vs Baku Sportinq: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 24 February the Birinci Dasta brings Səbail against Baku Sportinq at ASCO Arena. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Səbail are 5th, upper half, on 12 points after 7 matches; Baku Sportinq are 10th (in the drop zone) with 1.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Səbail 1.8 xG, Baku Sportinq 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Səbail 54%, draw 23%, Baku Sportinq 23%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Səbail to win (54%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.86, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Səbail 1–0 Baku Sportinq. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Səbail54%fair 1.86 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.20
Baku Sportinq23%fair 4.27 · @3.50
2.60Expected goals
1.76Səbail xG
0.83Baku Sportinq xG
45%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Səbail 1.8 – 0.8 Baku Sportinq expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Səbail to win✗
54%
1.86
2.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Draw no bet
Səbail (draw no bet)
70%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Baku Sportinq +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Səbail to score first✗
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Səbail ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Səbail / FT Səbail✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.61
–
Recent results
Səbail – last 1
L
18 Feb
@ MOIK
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Baku Sportinq – last 1
W
18 Feb
@ Cəbrayıl
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Səbail and Baku Sportinq.
What is the prediction for Səbail vs Baku Sportinq?
Our pick is Səbail to win with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Səbail vs Baku Sportinq?
On our numbers Səbail have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Baku Sportinq 23%.
How many goals will there be in Səbail vs Baku Sportinq?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Səbail vs Baku Sportinq?
Our predicted score is Səbail 1–0 Baku Sportinq, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Səbail vs Baku Sportinq?
Səbail vs Baku Sportinq (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at ASCO Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
