Difai Ağsu vs Baku Sportinq: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Difai Ağsu welcome Baku Sportinq for a Birinci Dasta fixture on Thursday 12 March (12:00 WAT).
Current form
Difai Ağsu, last 4: LLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to MOIK, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 3.3 conceded per game.
Baku Sportinq, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mingəçevir, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Baku Sportinq, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.8 for Difai Ağsu.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Difai Ağsu 1.3 xG, Baku Sportinq 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Difai Ağsu 25%, draw 23%, Baku Sportinq 52%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.78, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Difai Ağsu 1–1 Baku Sportinq. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Difai Ağsu25%fair 4.08 · @6.00
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @4.00
Baku Sportinq52%fair 1.91 · @1.44
2.81Expected goals
1.30Difai Ağsu xG
1.51Baku Sportinq xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Difai Ağsu 1.3 – 1.5 Baku Sportinq expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Baku Sportinq to win✓
52%
1.91
1.44
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Baku Sportinq (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
Difai Ağsu +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Baku Sportinq to score first
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Baku Sportinq / FT Baku Sportinq✗
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.21
–
Recent results
Difai Ağsu – last 4
LLLW
6 Mar
@ MOIK
1–2
L
25 Feb
vs Safa Baku
1–8
L
19 Feb
@ Zaqatala
1–2
L
13 Feb
vs Şimal
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Baku Sportinq – last 3
LDW
5 Mar
vs Mingəçevir
0–1
L
24 Feb
@ Səbail
0–0
D
18 Feb
@ Cəbrayıl
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Difai Ağsu and Baku Sportinq.
What is the prediction for Difai Ağsu vs Baku Sportinq?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Difai Ağsu vs Baku Sportinq?
On our numbers Difai Ağsu have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Baku Sportinq 52%.
How many goals will there be in Difai Ağsu vs Baku Sportinq?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Difai Ağsu vs Baku Sportinq?
Our predicted score is Difai Ağsu 1–1 Baku Sportinq, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Difai Ağsu vs Baku Sportinq?
Difai Ağsu vs Baku Sportinq (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
