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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Difai Ağsu v Şahdağ: numbers & prediction

Birinci Dasta · Azerbaidjan
0–3
FT
Difai Ağsu 20%Draw 19%Şahdağ 61% Expected goals 0.86 – 2.17
61%
Betarazi pick

Şahdağ to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.91Odds

Picks by market

ResultŞahdağ to win ✓61% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.21

Difai Ağsu vs Şahdağ: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Şahdağ travel to face Difai Ağsu on Thursday 9 April in the Birinci Dasta – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT.

Current form

Difai Ağsu, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Zaqatala, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Şahdağ, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Şimal, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Şahdağ, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.2 for Difai Ağsu.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Difai Ağsu 0.9 xG, Şahdağ 2.2 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Difai Ağsu 20%, draw 19%, Şahdağ 61%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Şahdağ to win (61%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Difai Ağsu 0–2 Şahdağ. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Difai Ağsu20%fair 5.12 · @3.40
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @3.40
Şahdağ61%fair 1.63 · @1.91
3.03Expected goals
0.86Difai Ağsu xG
2.17Şahdağ xG
56%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%

From our goals model: Difai Ağsu 0.9 – 2.2 Şahdağ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultŞahdağ to win ✓61%1.631.91 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.781.75
Draw no betŞahdağ (draw no bet) ✓76%1.32–
Asian handicapŞahdağ -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.71–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
First team to scoreŞahdağ to score first ✓68%1.47–
Half-time resultŞahdağ ahead at half-time ✓49%2.05–
Half-time / full-timeHT Şahdağ / FT Şahdağ ✓44%2.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.21–

Recent results

Difai Ağsu – last 6

LDLLLL
2 Apr@ Zaqatala0–1L
19 Marvs Cəbrayıl1–1D
12 Marvs Baku Sportinq1–3L
6 Mar@ MOIK1–2L
25 Febvs Safa Baku1–8L
19 Feb@ Zaqatala1–2L
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Şahdağ – last 6

WLDLWW
3 Aprvs Şimal1–0W
18 Mar@ Safa Baku0–1L
12 Marvs MOIK1–1D
5 Mar@ Safa Baku1–2L
25 Febvs Zaqatala1–0W
19 Feb@ Şimal1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Difai Ağsu and Şahdağ.

Difai Ağsu vs Şahdağ head-to-head page →

Birinci Dasta table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cəbrayıl7511+1316
2Şahdağ6501+1215
3MOIK7421+814
4Karvan7412+613
5Səbail7331+312
6Şimal7223-18
7Xankəndi FK7133-36
8Zaqatala7124-155
9Mingəçevir6114-94
10Baku Sportinq7016-141

More Birinci Dasta predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Difai Ağsu vs Şahdağ?

Our pick is Şahdağ to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win Difai Ağsu vs Şahdağ?

On our numbers Difai Ağsu have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Şahdağ 61%.

How many goals will there be in Difai Ağsu vs Şahdağ?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Difai Ağsu vs Şahdağ?

Our predicted score is Difai Ağsu 0–2 Şahdağ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Difai Ağsu vs Şahdağ?

Difai Ağsu vs Şahdağ (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.