Şimal 27%Draw 23%Mingəçevir 50%Expected goals 1.59 – 1.74
63%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.91Odds
Picks by market
ResultMingəçevir to win ✓50% · @1.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.61
Şimal vs Mingəçevir: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:30 WAT, Thursday 9 April: Şimal v Mingəçevir in the Birinci Dasta. In the table, Şimal are 6th, lower half, on 8 points after 7 matches; Mingəçevir are 9th (in the drop zone) with 4.
Current form
Şimal, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Şahdağ, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Mingəçevir, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Safa Baku, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Mingəçevir, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Şimal.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Şimal 1.6 xG, Mingəçevir 1.7 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Şimal 27%, draw 23%, Mingəçevir 50%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Şimal 1–1 Mingəçevir. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Şimal27%fair 3.64 · @5.50
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.75
Mingəçevir50%fair 2.02 · @1.50
3.33Expected goals
1.59Şimal xG
1.74Mingəçevir xG
63%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Şimal 1.6 – 1.7 Mingəçevir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mingəçevir to win✓
50%
2.02
1.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Mingəçevir (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Şimal +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
First team to score
Mingəçevir to score first✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mingəçevir / FT Mingəçevir✗
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.61
–
Recent results
Şimal – last 6
LDLWWL
3 Apr
@ Şahdağ
0–1
L
19 Mar
vs Zaqatala
0–0
D
11 Mar
vs Safa Baku
0–2
L
5 Mar
@ Zaqatala
4–3
W
24 Feb
vs Cəbrayıl
3–2
W
19 Feb
vs Şahdağ
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mingəçevir – last 6
WDLWWD
3 Apr
vs Safa Baku
5–2
W
18 Mar
@ Baku Sportinq
1–1
D
12 Mar
vs Səbail
0–1
L
5 Mar
@ Baku Sportinq
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs MOIK
2–0
W
19 Feb
@ Safa Baku
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Şimal and Mingəçevir.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Şimal vs Mingəçevir?
On our numbers Şimal have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mingəçevir 50%.
How many goals will there be in Şimal vs Mingəçevir?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Şimal vs Mingəçevir?
Our predicted score is Şimal 1–1 Mingəçevir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Şimal vs Mingəçevir?
Şimal vs Mingəçevir (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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