Difai Ağsu 15%Draw 23%Səbail 62%Expected goals 0.88 – 1.89
62%
Betarazi pick
Səbail to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultSəbail to win ✓62% · @1.44
Double chanceSəbail or draw ✓85% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗7% · fair 14.24
Difai Ağsu vs Səbail: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Difai Ağsu welcome Səbail for a Birinci Dasta fixture on Thursday 23 April (13:00 WAT).
Current form
Difai Ağsu, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Mingəçevir, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Səbail, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Şimal, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Səbail, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.2 for Difai Ağsu.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Difai Ağsu 0.9 xG, Səbail 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Difai Ağsu 15%, draw 23%, Səbail 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Səbail to win (62%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Difai Ağsu 0–1 Səbail. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Difai Ağsu15%fair 6.79 · @5.75
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @4.10
Səbail62%fair 1.62 · @1.44
2.77Expected goals
0.88Difai Ağsu xG
1.89Səbail xG
48%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
0–06%
From our goals model: Difai Ağsu 0.9 – 1.9 Səbail expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Səbail to win✓
62%
1.62
1.44
Double chance
Səbail or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
–
Draw no bet
Səbail (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Səbail -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Səbail to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Səbail ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Səbail / FT Səbail✓
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
7%
14.24
–
Recent results
Difai Ağsu – last 6
LLLDLL
16 Apr
@ Mingəçevir
1–2
L
9 Apr
vs Şahdağ
0–3
L
2 Apr
@ Zaqatala
0–1
L
19 Mar
vs Cəbrayıl
1–1
D
12 Mar
vs Baku Sportinq
1–3
L
6 Mar
@ MOIK
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Səbail – last 6
WLWDWW
16 Apr
vs Şimal
4–0
W
9 Apr
@ Safa Baku
1–2
L
2 Apr
vs Baku Sportinq
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs MOIK
2–2
D
12 Mar
@ Mingəçevir
1–0
W
6 Mar
@ Cəbrayıl
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Difai Ağsu and Səbail.
Our pick is Səbail to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Difai Ağsu vs Səbail?
On our numbers Difai Ağsu have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Səbail 62%.
How many goals will there be in Difai Ağsu vs Səbail?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Difai Ağsu vs Səbail?
Our predicted score is Difai Ağsu 0–1 Səbail, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Difai Ağsu vs Səbail?
Difai Ağsu vs Səbail (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
