Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.74
Şimal vs Baku Sportinq: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Baku Sportinq travel to face Şimal on Thursday 23 April in the Birinci Dasta – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Şimal are 6th, lower half, on 8 points after 7 matches; Baku Sportinq are 10th (in the drop zone) with 1.
Current form
Şimal, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Səbail, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Baku Sportinq, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Safa Baku, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Baku Sportinq, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Şimal.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Şimal 1.5 xG, Baku Sportinq 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Şimal 28%, draw 20%, Baku Sportinq 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Şimal 1–2 Baku Sportinq. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Şimal28%fair 3.54 · @6.25
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @4.50
Baku Sportinq52%fair 1.92 · @1.36
3.07Expected goals
1.51Şimal xG
1.56Baku Sportinq xG
52%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Şimal 1.5 – 1.6 Baku Sportinq expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Baku Sportinq to win✗
52%
1.92
1.36
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
–
Draw no bet
Baku Sportinq (draw no bet)✗
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Şimal +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Baku Sportinq to score first✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Baku Sportinq / FT Baku Sportinq✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.74
–
Recent results
Şimal – last 6
LLLDLW
16 Apr
@ Səbail
0–4
L
9 Apr
vs Mingəçevir
0–3
L
3 Apr
@ Şahdağ
0–1
L
19 Mar
vs Zaqatala
0–0
D
11 Mar
vs Safa Baku
0–2
L
5 Mar
@ Zaqatala
4–3
W
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Baku Sportinq – last 6
DWLDWL
16 Apr
vs Safa Baku
0–0
D
8 Apr
vs MOIK
3–1
W
2 Apr
@ Səbail
0–1
L
18 Mar
vs Mingəçevir
1–1
D
12 Mar
@ Difai Ağsu
3–1
W
5 Mar
vs Mingəçevir
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Şimal and Baku Sportinq.
What is the prediction for Şimal vs Baku Sportinq?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Şimal vs Baku Sportinq?
On our numbers Şimal have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Baku Sportinq 52%.
How many goals will there be in Şimal vs Baku Sportinq?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Şimal vs Baku Sportinq?
Our predicted score is Şimal 1–2 Baku Sportinq, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Şimal vs Baku Sportinq?
Şimal vs Baku Sportinq (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Difai Ağsu0