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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mingəçevir v Zaqatala: numbers & prediction

Birinci Dasta · Azerbaidjan
7–1
FT
Mingəçevir 62%Draw 22%Zaqatala 16% Expected goals 1.93 – 1.00
64%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.46 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.46Odds

Picks by market

ResultMingəçevir to win ✓62% · @1.34
Double chanceMingəçevir or draw ✓84% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗6% · fair 15.66

Mingəçevir vs Zaqatala: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:30 WAT, Wednesday 29 April: Mingəçevir v Zaqatala in the Birinci Dasta. In the table, Mingəçevir are 9th, in the drop zone, on 4 points after 6 matches; Zaqatala are 8th (in the drop zone) with 5. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Mingəçevir, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cəbrayıl, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Zaqatala, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Şahdağ, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Mingəçevir, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Zaqatala.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Feb 2026) it ended Mingəçevir 0–0 Zaqatala.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mingəçevir 1.9 xG, Zaqatala 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 48% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mingəçevir 62%, draw 22%, Zaqatala 16%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.46). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mingəçevir 1–1 Zaqatala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mingəçevir62%fair 1.62 · @1.34
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @4.40
Zaqatala16%fair 6.07 · @6.75
2.93Expected goals
1.93Mingəçevir xG
1.00Zaqatala xG
48%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%

From our goals model: Mingəçevir 1.9 – 1.0 Zaqatala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMingəçevir to win ✓62%1.621.34
Double chanceMingəçevir or draw ✓84%1.201.05
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.92–
Draw no betMingəçevir (draw no bet) ✓79%1.27–
Asian handicapZaqatala +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.16
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.751.56
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.551.46
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗80%1.251.17
First team to scoreMingəçevir to score first ✓62%1.60–
Half-time resultMingəçevir ahead at half-time ✓43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mingəçevir / FT Mingəçevir ✓37%2.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗6%15.66–

Recent results

Mingəçevir – last 6

LWWWDL
22 Apr@ Cəbrayıl1–2L
16 Aprvs Difai Ağsu2–1W
9 Apr@ Şimal3–0W
3 Aprvs Safa Baku5–2W
18 Mar@ Baku Sportinq1–1D
12 Marvs Səbail0–1L
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Zaqatala – last 6

LLLWDL
22 Aprvs Şahdağ0–1L
15 Apr@ MOIK1–2L
8 Apr@ Cəbrayıl2–3L
2 Aprvs Difai Ağsu1–0W
19 Mar@ Şimal0–0D
13 Mar@ Cəbrayıl0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Feb 2026Mingəçevir v Zaqatala0–0
Mingəçevir vs Zaqatala head-to-head page →

Birinci Dasta table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cəbrayıl7511+1316
2Şahdağ6501+1215
3MOIK7421+814
4Karvan7412+613
5Səbail7331+312
6Şimal7223-18
7Xankəndi FK7133-36
8Zaqatala7124-155
9Mingəçevir6114-94
10Baku Sportinq7016-141

More Birinci Dasta predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mingəçevir vs Zaqatala?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.

Who will win Mingəçevir vs Zaqatala?

On our numbers Mingəçevir have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Zaqatala 16%.

How many goals will there be in Mingəçevir vs Zaqatala?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mingəçevir vs Zaqatala?

Our predicted score is Mingəçevir 1–1 Zaqatala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Mingəçevir vs Zaqatala?

Mingəçevir vs Zaqatala (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.