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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Səbail v Cəbrayıl: numbers & prediction

Birinci Dasta · Azerbaidjan · ASCO Arena

Səbail

WWLWD
6–0
FT
Səbail 61%Draw 22%Cəbrayıl 17% Expected goals 1.86 – 1.08
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.95Odds

Picks by market

ResultSəbail to win ✓61% · @1.30
Double chanceSəbail or draw ✓83% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13

Səbail vs Cəbrayıl: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 30 April the Birinci Dasta brings Səbail against Cəbrayıl at ASCO Arena. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Səbail are 5th, upper half, on 12 points after 7 matches; Cəbrayıl are 1st (leading the league) with 16.

Current form

Səbail, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Difai Ağsu, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Cəbrayıl, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Mingəçevir, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Mar 2026) it ended Cəbrayıl 1–4 Səbail.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Səbail 1.9 xG, Cəbrayıl 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Səbail 61%, draw 22%, Cəbrayıl 17%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.70, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Səbail 1–1 Cəbrayıl. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Səbail61%fair 1.64 · @1.30
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @5.00
Cəbrayıl17%fair 5.77 · @6.50
2.94Expected goals
1.86Səbail xG
1.08Cəbrayıl xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%

From our goals model: Səbail 1.9 – 1.1 Cəbrayıl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSəbail to win ✓61%1.641.30
Double chanceSəbail or draw ✓83%1.211.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.701.95 ▲
Draw no betSəbail (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapCəbrayıl +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.78–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗83%1.21–
First team to scoreSəbail to score first ✓60%1.67–
Half-time resultSəbail ahead at half-time ✓41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Səbail / FT Səbail ✓35%2.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.13–

Recent results

Səbail – last 6

WWLWDW
23 Apr@ Difai Ağsu4–0W
16 Aprvs Şimal4–0W
9 Apr@ Safa Baku1–2L
2 Aprvs Baku Sportinq1–0W
18 Marvs MOIK2–2D
12 Mar@ Mingəçevir1–0W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Cəbrayıl – last 6

WDWLDW
22 Aprvs Mingəçevir2–1W
15 Apr@ Şahdağ0–0D
8 Aprvs Zaqatala3–2W
2 Apr@ MOIK1–2L
19 Mar@ Difai Ağsu1–1D
13 Marvs Zaqatala1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Mar 2026Cəbrayıl v Səbail1–4
Səbail vs Cəbrayıl head-to-head page →

Birinci Dasta table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cəbrayıl7511+1316
2Şahdağ6501+1215
3MOIK7421+814
4Karvan7412+613
5Səbail7331+312
6Şimal7223-18
7Xankəndi FK7133-36
8Zaqatala7124-155
9Mingəçevir6114-94
10Baku Sportinq7016-141

More Birinci Dasta predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Səbail vs Cəbrayıl?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Səbail vs Cəbrayıl?

On our numbers Səbail have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cəbrayıl 17%.

How many goals will there be in Səbail vs Cəbrayıl?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Səbail vs Cəbrayıl?

Our predicted score is Səbail 1–1 Cəbrayıl, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Səbail vs Cəbrayıl?

Səbail vs Cəbrayıl (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at ASCO Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.