Baku Sportinq 60%Draw 22%Difai Ağsu 18%Expected goals 1.67 – 1.06
60%
Betarazi pick
Baku Sportinq to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBaku Sportinq to win ✗60% · @1.25
Double chanceBaku Sportinq or draw ✓82% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.38
Baku Sportinq vs Difai Ağsu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Difai Ağsu travel to face Baku Sportinq on Thursday 30 April in the Birinci Dasta – the ball rolls at 13:30 WAT.
Current form
Baku Sportinq, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Şimal, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Difai Ağsu, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Səbail, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Baku Sportinq, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.2 for Difai Ağsu.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Mar 2026) it ended Difai Ağsu 1–3 Baku Sportinq.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Baku Sportinq 1.7 xG, Difai Ağsu 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Baku Sportinq 60%, draw 22%, Difai Ağsu 18%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Baku Sportinq to win (60%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Baku Sportinq 1–0 Difai Ağsu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Baku Sportinq60%fair 1.66 · @1.25
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @5.00
Difai Ağsu18%fair 5.52 · @8.00
2.72Expected goals
1.67Baku Sportinq xG
1.06Difai Ağsu xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Baku Sportinq 1.7 – 1.1 Difai Ağsu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Baku Sportinq vs Difai Ağsu?
Our pick is Baku Sportinq to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Baku Sportinq vs Difai Ağsu?
On our numbers Baku Sportinq have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Difai Ağsu 18%.
How many goals will there be in Baku Sportinq vs Difai Ağsu?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baku Sportinq vs Difai Ağsu?
Our predicted score is Baku Sportinq 1–0 Difai Ağsu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Baku Sportinq vs Difai Ağsu?
Baku Sportinq vs Difai Ağsu (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
