Şimal 25%Draw 23%MOIK 52%Expected goals 1.41 – 1.86
62%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.41 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.41Odds
Picks by market
ResultMOIK to win ✗52% · @1.63
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.77
Şimal vs MOIK: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Wednesday 6 May: Şimal v MOIK in the Birinci Dasta. In the table, Şimal are 6th, lower half, on 8 points after 7 matches; MOIK are 3rd (among the top four) with 14.
Current form
Şimal, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Safa Baku, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
MOIK, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Şahdağ, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Şimal 1.4 xG, MOIK 1.9 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Şimal 25%, draw 23%, MOIK 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.41). Most likely score in line with that pick: Şimal 1–1 MOIK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Şimal25%fair 4.07 · @4.30
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.65
MOIK52%fair 1.92 · @1.63
3.26Expected goals
1.41Şimal xG
1.86MOIK xG
54%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
0–17%
2–17%
0–27%
2–27%
From our goals model: Şimal 1.4 – 1.9 MOIK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
MOIK to win✗
52%
1.92
1.63
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
MOIK (draw no bet)
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
Şimal +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.63
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.41
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.15
First team to score
MOIK to score first✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT MOIK / FT MOIK✗
30%
3.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.77
–
Recent results
Şimal – last 6
DWLLLD
29 Apr
@ Safa Baku
0–0
D
23 Apr
vs Baku Sportinq
1–0
W
16 Apr
@ Səbail
0–4
L
9 Apr
vs Mingəçevir
0–3
L
3 Apr
@ Şahdağ
0–1
L
19 Mar
vs Zaqatala
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
MOIK – last 6
LLWLWD
29 Apr
vs Şahdağ
0–1
L
22 Apr
@ Safa Baku
0–3
L
15 Apr
vs Zaqatala
2–1
W
8 Apr
@ Baku Sportinq
1–3
L
2 Apr
vs Cəbrayıl
2–1
W
18 Mar
@ Səbail
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Şimal and MOIK.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Şimal vs MOIK?
On our numbers Şimal have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 23% and MOIK 52%.
How many goals will there be in Şimal vs MOIK?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Şimal vs MOIK?
Our predicted score is Şimal 1–1 MOIK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Şimal vs MOIK?
Şimal vs MOIK (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
