Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✓8% · fair 12.79
Zaqatala vs Səbail: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 6 May the Birinci Dasta brings Zaqatala against Səbail. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Zaqatala are 8th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 7 matches; Səbail are 5th (upper half) with 12.
Current form
Zaqatala, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–7 defeat to Mingəçevir, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Səbail, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Cəbrayıl, at home. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Səbail, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Zaqatala.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zaqatala 0.8 xG, Səbail 2.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zaqatala 14%, draw 22%, Səbail 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zaqatala 0–2 Səbail. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zaqatala14%fair 7.10 · @5.20
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.85
Səbail64%fair 1.57 · @1.50
2.79Expected goals
0.82Zaqatala xG
1.97Səbail xG
46%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
1–36%
From our goals model: Zaqatala 0.8 – 2.0 Səbail expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Səbail to win✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Double chance
Səbail or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.09
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Səbail (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Səbail -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.13
First team to score
Səbail to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Səbail ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Səbail / FT Səbail✓
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✓
8%
12.79
–
Recent results
Zaqatala – last 6
LLLLWD
29 Apr
@ Mingəçevir
1–7
L
22 Apr
vs Şahdağ
0–1
L
15 Apr
@ MOIK
1–2
L
8 Apr
@ Cəbrayıl
2–3
L
2 Apr
vs Difai Ağsu
1–0
W
19 Mar
@ Şimal
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Səbail – last 6
WWWLWD
30 Apr
vs Cəbrayıl
6–0
W
23 Apr
@ Difai Ağsu
4–0
W
16 Apr
vs Şimal
4–0
W
9 Apr
@ Safa Baku
1–2
L
2 Apr
vs Baku Sportinq
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs MOIK
2–2
D
3.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zaqatala and Səbail.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Zaqatala vs Səbail?
On our numbers Zaqatala have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Səbail 64%.
How many goals will there be in Zaqatala vs Səbail?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zaqatala vs Səbail?
Our predicted score is Zaqatala 0–2 Səbail, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Zaqatala vs Səbail?
Zaqatala vs Səbail (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
