Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.53
Şahdağ vs Baku Sportinq: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Şahdağ welcome Baku Sportinq for a Birinci Dasta fixture on Friday 22 May (14:00 WAT). In the table, Şahdağ are 2nd, among the top four, on 15 points after 6 matches; Baku Sportinq are 10th (in the drop zone) with 1. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Şahdağ, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Mingəçevir, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 6 clean sheets in that run.
Baku Sportinq, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Cəbrayıl, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Şahdağ, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for Baku Sportinq.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Şahdağ 2.0 xG, Baku Sportinq 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Şahdağ 53%, draw 20%, Baku Sportinq 28%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Şahdağ to win (53%, odds 2.75 – longer than our fair 1.89, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Şahdağ 1–0 Baku Sportinq. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Şahdağ53%fair 1.89 · @2.75
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.20
Baku Sportinq28%fair 3.64 · @2.30
2.84Expected goals
2.00Şahdağ xG
0.84Baku Sportinq xG
46%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Şahdağ 2.0 – 0.8 Baku Sportinq expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Şahdağ to win✗
53%
1.89
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
–
Draw no bet
Şahdağ (draw no bet)
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
Şahdağ -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Şahdağ to score first✗
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Şahdağ ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Şahdağ / FT Şahdağ✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.53
–
Recent results
Şahdağ – last 6
WWWDWW
5 May
vs Mingəçevir
2–0
W
29 Apr
@ MOIK
1–0
W
22 Apr
@ Zaqatala
1–0
W
15 Apr
vs Cəbrayıl
0–0
D
9 Apr
@ Difai Ağsu
3–0
W
3 Apr
vs Şimal
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Baku Sportinq – last 6
WDLDWL
7 May
@ Cəbrayıl
3–2
W
30 Apr
vs Difai Ağsu
1–1
D
23 Apr
@ Şimal
0–1
L
16 Apr
vs Safa Baku
0–0
D
8 Apr
vs MOIK
3–1
W
2 Apr
@ Səbail
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Şahdağ and Baku Sportinq.
What is the prediction for Şahdağ vs Baku Sportinq?
Our pick is Şahdağ to win with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.75.
Who will win Şahdağ vs Baku Sportinq?
On our numbers Şahdağ have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Baku Sportinq 28%.
How many goals will there be in Şahdağ vs Baku Sportinq?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Şahdağ vs Baku Sportinq?
Our predicted score is Şahdağ 1–0 Baku Sportinq, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Şahdağ vs Baku Sportinq?
Şahdağ vs Baku Sportinq (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
