Value bet: Garelli United to win @ 2.15 – our chance 56% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGarelli United to win ✓56% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · fair 1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓73% · @1.40
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗6% · fair 17.30
Philippine Army vs Garelli United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 11 March the PFL brings Philippine Army against Garelli United at Rizal Memorial Stadium. Kick-off: 09:00 WAT. In the table, Philippine Army are 5th on 2 points after 24 matches; Garelli United are 2nd with 22. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Philippine Army, last 3: DDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Maharlika, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Garelli United, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Mendiola, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Philippine Army 2.0 xG, Garelli United 3.6 xG – a total near 5.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 92% and GG at 73%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Philippine Army 27%, draw 17%, Garelli United 56%.
GG/NG: GG (73%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Garelli United to win @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (73%, odds 1.40 – longer than our fair 1.36, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Philippine Army 1–3 Garelli United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Philippine Army27%fair 3.74 · @2.50
Draw17%fair 5.80 · @3.80
Garelli United56%fair 1.79 · @2.15
5.58Expected goals
2.00Philippine Army xG
3.58Garelli United xG
73%Both score
92%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–36%
2–36%
1–45%
2–45%
1–25%
2–25%
From our goals model: Philippine Army 2.0 – 3.6 Garelli United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Garelli United to win✓
56%
1.79
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
73%
1.36
1.40
Draw no bet
Garelli United (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Garelli United -1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
98%
1.03
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
First team to score
Garelli United to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Garelli United ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Garelli United / FT Garelli United✓
47%
2.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
6%
17.30
–
Recent results
Philippine Army – last 3
DDL
7 Mar
vs Maharlika
1–1
D
25 Feb
@ Tuloy
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Stallion
1–5
L
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Garelli United – last 5
WLLLL
7 Mar
vs Mendiola
4–0
W
28 Feb
@ Stallion
0–4
L
25 Feb
@ Manila Digger
1–6
L
22 Feb
vs Davao Aguilas
0–3
L
15 Feb
@ Taguig
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Philippine Army and Garelli United.
What is the prediction for Philippine Army vs Garelli United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Philippine Army vs Garelli United?
On our numbers Philippine Army have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Garelli United 56%.
How many goals will there be in Philippine Army vs Garelli United?
We expect about 5.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 92% likely and both teams score 73% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Philippine Army vs Garelli United?
Our predicted score is Philippine Army 1–3 Garelli United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.6 goals in total.
When is Philippine Army vs Garelli United?
Philippine Army vs Garelli United (PFL) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Rizal Memorial Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
