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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Maharlika v Davao Aguilas: numbers & prediction

PFL · Philippines
Wed 11 Mar 2026
Maharlika 14%Draw 20%Davao Aguilas 67% Expected goals 1.10 – 2.22
56%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.79 · bookmaker 2.20

4/10Rating
2.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultDavao Aguilas to win67% · @1.17
Double chanceDavao Aguilas or draw86% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.20

Maharlika vs Davao Aguilas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Davao Aguilas travel to face Maharlika on Wednesday 11 March in the PFL – the ball rolls at 10:45 WAT. In the table, Maharlika are 1st on 39 points after 24 matches; Davao Aguilas are 5th with 40. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Maharlika, last 4: DLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Philippine Army, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Davao Aguilas, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 7–2 win over Tuloy, away. The attack is flying at 5.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Davao Aguilas, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.3 for Maharlika.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Maharlika 1.1 xG, Davao Aguilas 2.2 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Maharlika 14%, draw 20%, Davao Aguilas 67%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.20.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 2.20 – longer than our fair 1.79, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maharlika 1–2 Davao Aguilas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Maharlika14%fair 7.26 · @11.00
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @6.50
Davao Aguilas67%fair 1.50 · @1.17
3.31Expected goals
1.10Maharlika xG
2.22Davao Aguilas xG
56%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%

From our goals model: Maharlika 1.1 – 2.2 Davao Aguilas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDavao Aguilas to win67%1.501.17
Double chanceDavao Aguilas or draw86%1.161.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score56%1.792.20 ▲
Draw no betDavao Aguilas (draw no bet)83%1.21–
Asian handicapDavao Aguilas -0.5 (Asian handicap)63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals64%1.55–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals58%1.73–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals76%1.32–
First team to scoreDavao Aguilas to score first65%1.55–
Half-time resultDavao Aguilas ahead at half-time47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Davao Aguilas / FT Davao Aguilas41%2.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%10.20–

Recent results

Maharlika – last 4

DLWD
7 Mar@ Philippine Army1–1D
28 Feb@ Dynamic Herb Cebu0–4L
21 Feb@ Mendiola4–2W
15 Feb@ Stallion1–1D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Davao Aguilas – last 3

WWW
8 Mar@ Tuloy7–2W
1 Marvs Mendiola5–0W
22 Feb@ Garelli United3–0W
5.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Maharlika and Davao Aguilas.

Maharlika vs Davao Aguilas head-to-head page →

PFL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Manila Digger201730+9054
2Taguig201712+7552
3Dynamic Herb Cebu201334+4942
4Kaya201325+5541
5Stallion20965+3633
6Davao Aguilas201028+1732
7Maharlika20929+829
8Garelli United205015-4215
9Tuloy203215-9211
10Mendiola202117-867
11Philippine Army200218-1102

More PFL predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Maharlika vs Davao Aguilas?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.

Who will win Maharlika vs Davao Aguilas?

On our numbers Maharlika have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Davao Aguilas 67%.

How many goals will there be in Maharlika vs Davao Aguilas?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Maharlika vs Davao Aguilas?

Our predicted score is Maharlika 1–2 Davao Aguilas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Maharlika vs Davao Aguilas?

Maharlika vs Davao Aguilas (PFL) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 10:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.