Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.46 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.46Odds
1
Value bet: Wellington Phoenix to win @ 3.80 – our chance 31% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAuckland to win ✓44% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.46
Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Wellington Phoenix welcome Auckland to Sky Stadium for a A League fixture on Saturday 21 February (05:00 WAT). In the table, Wellington Phoenix are 1st, leading the league, on 10 points after 4 matches; Auckland are 8th (lower half) with 5.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Wellington Phoenix 1.4 xG, Auckland 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Wellington Phoenix 31%, draw 25%, Auckland 44%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Wellington Phoenix to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (67%, odds 1.46). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wellington Phoenix 1–1 Auckland. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Wellington Phoenix31%fair 3.25 · @3.80
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.75
Auckland44%fair 2.28 · @1.83
2.76Expected goals
1.43Wellington Phoenix xG
1.33Auckland xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Wellington Phoenix 1.4 – 1.3 Auckland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Auckland to win✓
44%
2.28
1.83
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.60
Draw no bet
Auckland (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Auckland +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.19
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.46
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
1.17
First team to score
Wellington Phoenix to score first✗
48%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wellington Phoenix / FT Wellington Phoenix✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.46
–
Recent results
Wellington Phoenix – last 1
D
13 Feb
@ Western Sydney Wanderers
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Auckland – last 1
D
17 Feb
@ Sydney
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wellington Phoenix and Auckland.
What is the prediction for Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.
Who will win Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland?
On our numbers Wellington Phoenix have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Auckland 44%.
How many goals will there be in Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland?
Our predicted score is Wellington Phoenix 1–1 Auckland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland?
Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland (A League) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Sky Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
