Sydney 55%Draw 24%Brisbane Roar 22%Expected goals 1.73 – 1.07
78%
Betarazi pick
Sydney or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.21Odds
Picks by market
ResultSydney to win ✓55% · @1.70
Double chanceSydney or draw ✓78% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Sydney vs Brisbane Roar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 21 February the A League brings Sydney against Brisbane Roar at Sydney Football Stadium. Kick-off: 07:00 WAT. In the table, Sydney are 2nd, among the top four, on 7 points after 4 matches; Brisbane Roar are 3rd (among the top four) with 7. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sydney 1.7 xG, Brisbane Roar 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sydney 55%, draw 24%, Brisbane Roar 22%.
Lower-risk option: Sydney or draw (78%) at 1.21.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.63.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sydney or draw (78%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sydney 1–1 Brisbane Roar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sydney55%fair 1.83 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @4.00
Brisbane Roar22%fair 4.63 · @4.33
2.80Expected goals
1.73Sydney xG
1.07Brisbane Roar xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
0–06%
From our goals model: Sydney 1.7 – 1.1 Brisbane Roar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sydney to win✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Double chance
Sydney or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.21
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.63
Draw no bet
Sydney (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Brisbane Roar +1 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.19
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.61
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.46
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.18
First team to score
Sydney to score first✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sydney / FT Sydney✗
33%
3.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.26
–
Recent results
Sydney – last 2
DL
17 Feb
vs Auckland
1–1
D
14 Feb
vs Adelaide United
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Brisbane Roar – last 1
D
14 Feb
@ Melbourne Victory
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sydney and Brisbane Roar.
What is the prediction for Sydney vs Brisbane Roar?
Our pick is Sydney or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Sydney vs Brisbane Roar?
On our numbers Sydney have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Brisbane Roar 22%.
How many goals will there be in Sydney vs Brisbane Roar?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sydney vs Brisbane Roar?
Our predicted score is Sydney 1–1 Brisbane Roar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sydney vs Brisbane Roar?
Sydney vs Brisbane Roar (A League) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Sydney Football Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.