Auckland vs Macarthur: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 21 March the A League brings Auckland against Macarthur at Go Media Stadium. Kick-off: 03:00 WAT. In the table, Auckland are 8th, lower half, on 5 points after 4 matches; Macarthur are 7th (lower half) with 5. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Auckland, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Newcastle Jets, away. The attack is flying at 2.6 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Macarthur, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Melbourne Victory, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Auckland, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.2 for Macarthur.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Auckland 1.7 xG, Macarthur 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Auckland 55%, draw 24%, Macarthur 22%.
Lower-risk option: Auckland or draw (78%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Auckland 1–1 Macarthur. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Auckland55%fair 1.83 · @1.66
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.95
Macarthur22%fair 4.63 · @4.65
2.73Expected goals
1.65Auckland xG
1.08Macarthur xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Auckland 1.7 – 1.1 Macarthur expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Auckland to win✗
55%
1.83
1.66
Double chance
Auckland or draw✗
78%
1.28
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.62
Draw no bet
Auckland (draw no bet)✗
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Macarthur +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.20
First team to score
Auckland to score first✗
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Auckland / FT Auckland✗
31%
3.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.42
–
Recent results
Auckland – last 5
WDWWD
14 Mar
@ Newcastle Jets
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Perth Glory
2–2
D
28 Feb
vs Melbourne City
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Wellington Phoenix
5–0
W
17 Feb
@ Sydney
1–1
D
2.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Macarthur – last 5
LLLLD
15 Mar
@ Melbourne Victory
1–4
L
4 Mar
vs Central Coast Mariners
1–3
L
28 Feb
vs Western Sydney Wanderers
0–4
L
22 Feb
@ Newcastle Jets
0–1
L
19 Feb
vs Bangkok United
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Auckland and Macarthur.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Auckland vs Macarthur?
On our numbers Auckland have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Macarthur 22%.
How many goals will there be in Auckland vs Macarthur?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Auckland vs Macarthur?
Our predicted score is Auckland 1–1 Macarthur, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Auckland vs Macarthur?
Auckland vs Macarthur (A League) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Go Media Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.